Prediction Case File
XAUUSDforexbullishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Thecoinseer 2025-11-13T21:09:25monthlytechnical
Live Outcome
-0.35%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
4,204.39990234
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
4,231.641
Predicted objective
Invalidation
4,189.74
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
4,204.46
Original Analyst Trend
Bearish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bullish
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
0.65%
Initial Invalidation Distance
0.35%
Risk / Reward
1.86
Timeframe
Monthly
Live Position
-0.35%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

60%
Principal
80%
Actionable
80%
Overall
Principal60.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate80.00%
Actionable80.00%
Derived Quality76.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-11-13T21:09:25
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-11-13T23:00:00
Resolved At
2025-11-13T23:00:00
Resolved Candle
2025-11-13T23:00:00
Max High
4,204.39990234
Max High At
-
Min Low
4,173.10009766
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
1.83h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Thecoinseer
YouTube · @Thecoinseer
Reliability
67
Success Rate
73.33%
Consistency
99.71
Risk Adjusted
-0.29
Avg Return
0.11%
Avg Quality
3.63
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
qhEcbtJ59u0
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The video presents a technical analysis of XAUUSD, proposing a long position. The entry point is specified around 4204.460, with a target set at 4231.641. A stop-loss is placed at 4189.740 to define the risk. The presenter establishes a trade setup based on identified levels, suggesting that a bullish move is anticipated if the price holds above the stop-loss.

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal