Prediction Case File
ETHUSDTcryptobullishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

KG TRADING - Crypto Elliott Waves2025-11-14T23:10:00intradaytechnical
Live Outcome
-16.22%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
3,103.55
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
4,700
Predicted objective
Invalidation
2,600
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
3,200
Original Analyst Trend
Bearish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bullish
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
51.44%
Initial Invalidation Distance
16.22%
Risk / Reward
3.17
Timeframe
Intraday
Live Position
-16.22%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

80%
Principal
80%
Actionable
80%
Overall
Principal80.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate80.00%
Actionable80.00%
Derived Quality80.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-11-14T23:10:00
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2026-01-31T00:00:00
Resolved At
2026-01-31T00:00:00
Resolved Candle
2026-01-31T00:00:00
Max High
3,230
Max High At
-
Min Low
3,103.55
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
1,848.83h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

KG TRADING - Crypto Elliott Waves
YouTube · @KGTradingCrypto
Reliability
49.81
Success Rate
37.52%
Consistency
80.94
Risk Adjusted
-16.84
Avg Return
-3.1%
Avg Quality
3.54
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
93ZkRDpMUhY
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analyst provides an Elliott Wave analysis for ETHUSD, SOLUSD and INJUSD. ETHUSD is completing wave 5, with a potential final low before a strong rebound towards 4700, above the invalidation at 3678, and below the bear market confirmation level at 2140. For SOLUSD, a bottom is anticipated, targeting 179, above bearish invalidation at 179. The analyst also believes one more low is likely before the reversal. Finally, INJUSD is completing a larger correction, the analyst also believes it should have another drop targeting to 4.5 above 11.2 to complete wave 2 before another bullish move. There is a suggested potential WXY. It is important to wait for confirmation before trading, with Bitcoin also showing potential for reversal.

Original Caption

Join our Safe and Private Discord Community → Daily analysis requests, Elliott Wave education & Q&As. Don’t forget to LIKE , SUBSCRIBE , and COMMENT your wave counts below – I reply to as many as I can! In this video, we apply Elliott Wave analysis to Bitcoin, Ethereum, and the crypto market. Learn how to identify trading opportunities, manage risk, and apply the Wave Principle in real time. Perfect for traders who want structured and professional market insights. MEMBERSHIPS Patreon Membership → https://www.patreon.com/c/KGTrading YouTube Membership → https://www.youtube.com/@KGTradingCrypto 🟢 GET KGT INDICATOR Free Version 1.0 → Monthly Discord Membership Free Version 2.0 → Lifetime Patreon Membership Email me directly → kg.trading.ew@gmail.com Follow on X → https://x.com/KGTradingCrypto Instagram → https://www.instagram.com/kg_trading_elliott_wave/ 🟠 Stock Market Channel → https://www.youtube.com/@KGtradingStocks 🟣 Disclaimer This video is for educational purposes only. We do not provide financial advice. All predictions are speculative. Do your own research and consult a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. #ElliottWave #CryptoTrading #bitcoinanalysis 00:00 ETH 2:20 SOL 4:50 INJ

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal