Prediction Case File
AMZNstockbearishVerified Correct

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

The Patient Investor2025-11-16T18:57:36monthlyfundamental
Live Outcome
6.26%
Performance since published
Correct
Publish Price
234.69999695
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
220
Predicted objective
Invalidation
245
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
234.69
Original Analyst Trend
Bearish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bearish
Normalized Market Direction
Bearish
Initial Target Distance
6.26%
Initial Invalidation Distance
4.39%
Risk / Reward
1.43
Timeframe
Monthly
Live Position
6.26%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

80%
Principal
80%
Actionable
80%
Overall
Principal80.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate80.00%
Actionable80.00%
Derived Quality80.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-11-16T18:57:36
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-11-19T14:30:00
Resolved At
2025-11-19T14:30:00
Resolved Candle
2025-11-19T14:30:00
Max High
234.69999695
Max High At
-
Min Low
229.19000244
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
67.53h
Result
Correct
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

The Patient Investor
YouTube · @thepatientinvestorr
Reliability
46.94
Success Rate
33.49%
Consistency
82.73
Risk Adjusted
-7.99
Avg Return
-1.07%
Avg Quality
3.5
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
QC2wazTHy4c
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The video presents a fundamental analysis of META and AMZN stocks, particularly focusing on META. It highlights that during market rallies, investors often overlook risks, while during sell-offs, they ignore opportunities. META is deemed inexpensive at 20 times earnings, compared to Google at 26, and Tesla at 197. It is over a trillion-dollar company still growing, with revenues up by 26% quarterly. Although the expectation is to go lower and if AI fears continue the stock may go to $550. The company has access to 3.5 billion users daily. For AMZN target is at $220. Both the robotics and the growing square footage is helping margins.

Original Caption

Friends! In this video, I'm going to discuss 2 cheap quality stocks to consider in this heated market. MY PORTFOLIO & DISCORD: https://www.patreon.com/patientinvestor MY TWITTER: https://twitter.com/patientinvestt FREE ACCESS To Fiscal.AI https://fiscal.ai/?via=Patient

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal