Prediction Case File
BTCUSDTcryptobearishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Crypto Jebb2025-11-20T02:14:22dailytechnical
Live Outcome
-1.44%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
92,667.65
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
75,000
Predicted objective
Invalidation
94,000
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
89,377.1
Original Analyst Trend
Bearish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bearish
Normalized Market Direction
Bearish
Initial Target Distance
19.07%
Initial Invalidation Distance
1.44%
Risk / Reward
13.26
Timeframe
Daily
Live Position
-1.44%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

60%
Principal
80%
Actionable
60%
Overall
Principal60.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate60.00%
Actionable80.00%
Derived Quality68.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-11-20T02:14:22
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-12-03T00:00:00
Resolved At
2025-12-03T00:00:00
Resolved Candle
2025-12-03T00:00:00
Max High
93,160
Max High At
-
Min Low
80,600
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
309.75h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Crypto Jebb
YouTube · @CryptoJebb
Reliability
43.95
Success Rate
29.33%
Consistency
88.55
Risk Adjusted
-9
Avg Return
-2.5%
Avg Quality
3.42
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
zWgx6g2xcCI
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analyst believes Bitcoin is entering a bear market. He refers to previous predictions: Bitcoin to $130,000 (stopped at $126,000), then down to $94,000. Currently, $94,000 support failed. Dropping below the 50-week weekly moving average signals a bear market. Bitcoin failed to hold support at the .618 Fibonacci level ($94,000). Currently heading to $85,600.Candlestick needs to close above $94,000 by Sunday to avoid bear market confirmation.$94,000 is the line in the sand. He believes BTC will go to 75K$.Reviewing the bull market start, BTC needed to break $25,236. Currently, the speaker sees $57,000 as a reasonable target ( .618 fib retracement level).The 200 weekly moving average, which served as support, is rising to meet the Bitcoin market at some point next year. However, currently, Bitcoin rejected $94,000 on the hourly chart on Sunday. An hourly bullish RSI divergence could cause rally back to 94K.

Original Caption

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Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal
BTCUSDT Bearish Signal by Crypto Jebb | Tahlil Plus AI