Prediction Case File
TSLAstockbullishVerified Correct

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Harry Multani2025-08-02T23:22:37dailytechnical
Live Outcome
43.59%
Performance since published
Correct
Publish Price
302.60998535
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
434.52
Predicted objective
Invalidation
270
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
301.05
Original Analyst Trend
Range
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bullish
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
43.59%
Initial Invalidation Distance
10.78%
Risk / Reward
4.05
Timeframe
Daily
Live Position
43.59%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

60%
Principal
80%
Actionable
60%
Overall
Principal60.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate60.00%
Actionable80.00%
Derived Quality68.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-08-02T23:22:37
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-09-22T04:00:00
Resolved At
2025-09-22T04:00:00
Resolved Candle
2025-09-22T04:00:00
Max High
302.60998535
Max High At
-
Min Low
302.60998535
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
1,204.62h
Result
Correct
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Harry Multani
YouTube · @harmynder
Reliability
55.16
Success Rate
45.15%
Consistency
92.19
Risk Adjusted
-1.81
Avg Return
0.82%
Avg Quality
3.56
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
GAAAJO7Lx8w
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analysis focuses on Tesla's daily chart. The stock is currently in a triangle pattern, suggesting a significant move is imminent. If Tesla breaks upwards, the projected target is around $434.52, representing a potential 35% increase. Conversely, a downward breakout could lead to a gap fill near $230, with a potential 35% decrease. The analysis identifies two potential target prices and failure ranges based on a breakout from the identified triangle pattern.

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal