Prediction Case File
BTCUSDTcryptobearishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Harry Multani2025-08-02T23:24:54dailytechnical
Live Outcome
-7.23%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
112,478.9
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
97,265
Predicted objective
Invalidation
120,615
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
113,570
Original Analyst Trend
Bearish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bearish
Normalized Market Direction
Bearish
Initial Target Distance
13.53%
Initial Invalidation Distance
7.23%
Risk / Reward
1.87
Timeframe
Daily
Live Position
-7.23%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

60%
Principal
80%
Actionable
60%
Overall
Principal60.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate60.00%
Actionable80.00%
Derived Quality68.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-08-02T23:24:54
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-08-11T02:00:00
Resolved At
2025-08-11T02:00:00
Resolved Candle
2025-08-11T02:00:00
Max High
-
Max High At
-
Min Low
-
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
194.58h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Harry Multani
YouTube · @harmynder
Reliability
55.16
Success Rate
45.15%
Consistency
92.19
Risk Adjusted
-1.81
Avg Return
0.82%
Avg Quality
3.56
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
9KqeV34lC2M
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analysis begins by referencing a previous video where a 114k gap fill was predicted, which subsequently occurred. The current analysis suggests further downside, highlighting gaps below 100k, specifically around 97k and 91k. The analyst identifies a support area around 100k-106k. The predicted price action involves a potential move lower to this support zone. The analyst also warns that a failure to hold this support could lead to further declines towards the identified 97k and 91k levels. The general expectation is a downward trend with key support levels to watch.

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal