Prediction Case File
XAGUSDforexbearishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Mohammad Arafat2025-11-24T07:17:17dailytechnical
Live Outcome
-1.06%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
49.77000046
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
49.3
Predicted objective
Invalidation
50.3
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
49.812
Original Analyst Trend
Bearish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bearish
Normalized Market Direction
Bearish
Initial Target Distance
0.94%
Initial Invalidation Distance
1.06%
Risk / Reward
0.89
Timeframe
Daily
Live Position
-1.06%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

80%
Principal
100%
Actionable
80%
Overall
Principal80.00%
Comprehensible100.00%
Accurate80.00%
Actionable100.00%
Derived Quality88.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-11-24T07:17:17
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-11-24T17:00:00
Resolved At
2025-11-24T17:00:00
Resolved Candle
2025-11-24T17:00:00
Max High
50.43999863
Max High At
-
Min Low
49.56499863
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
9.7h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Mohammad Arafat
YouTube · @mohammadarafatofficial
Reliability
64.16
Success Rate
58.06%
Consistency
96.37
Risk Adjusted
-0.78
Avg Return
0.27%
Avg Quality
3.52
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
75er9ZvoDe4
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analysis starts with gold (XAUUSD), noting a move from mild positive to negative, currently around $4047.47. The video indicates that gold has entered a weak zone with a flat opening and failure to sustain a positive stance. The speaker suggests that President Trump's focus on Russia and Ukraine is impacting the market. Support for gold is at $4020, with resistance at $4070 and the trend is weak. Then the video analyzes silver (XAGUSD) indicating a weak trend. The analysis points a resistance at 50.30 and support at 49.30 for silver. Also dollar index is running above 100 level. Finally the video says the crude oil has uncertainty trend, it is enjoying the down trend. Current support is $56.50, with resistance at $59.50 and the trend is weak.

Original Caption

GOLD analysis TODAY 24 November | Silver Forecast TODAY | Crude Oil Price Forecast DAILY | Technical analysis with Subtitles Gold Analysis for Next Week https://youtu.be/Q0qJoWotm3c Signals performance https://www.mohdarafat.com/performance-2/ Contact helpline on whatsapp by clicking link below https://wa.me/message/PGRKCLSKWNMBP1 OR Whatsapp +91-7088230622 (Text Only) for Market commentary and paid signal details Official Whatsapp channel for data and news update https://whatsapp.com/channel/0029VadcM3n7NoZuUqpsXU05 Telegram Official channel for live market updates https://t.me/mohammadarafatofficial X https://x.com/itsarafat Instagram https://www.instagram.com/itsarafatlive #xauusdanalysis #forexsignalsprovider #forexgoldanalysis #forexgoldupdate #goldforecast #goldprediction #goldsignals these videos are for educational purpose only . No trading action should be taken basis on my videos

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal
XAGUSD Bearish Signal by Mohammad Arafat | Tahlil Plus AI