Prediction Case File
BTCUSDTcryptobearishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Market | Chart | Pattern2025-11-24T04:47:16weeklytechnical
Live Outcome
-1.64%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
86,660.03
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
79,004
Predicted objective
Invalidation
88,082
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
87,916
Original Analyst Trend
Bearish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bearish
Normalized Market Direction
Bearish
Initial Target Distance
8.83%
Initial Invalidation Distance
1.64%
Risk / Reward
5.38
Timeframe
Weekly
Live Position
-1.64%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

80%
Principal
80%
Actionable
80%
Overall
Principal80.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate80.00%
Actionable80.00%
Derived Quality80.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-11-24T04:47:16
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-11-24T17:00:00
Resolved At
2025-11-24T17:00:00
Resolved Candle
2025-11-24T17:00:00
Max High
88,550.68
Max High At
-
Min Low
85,272
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
12.2h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Market | Chart | Pattern
YouTube · @marketchartpattern
Reliability
57.98
Success Rate
48.8%
Consistency
0
Risk Adjusted
732.01
Avg Return
735.12%
Avg Quality
3.82
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
azlgt9xgcgk
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analyst delivers a market analysis. He discusses the NASDAQ, targeting 23901.85, with a fail above 24224.14, foreseeing a bearish trend. Turning to Bitcoin, he identifies a potential decline to 79004, setting the fail limit at 88082, and notes a bearish view. For ES, a level to 4375.25, considering 4782.25 as a failure mark is established. Yields US02 are expected to decrease to 3.2%, any increase above 3.614 would be considered a breach in the expectations. Gold is to reach 3752.50 from his prospective, this can be considered that his bullish trend may end if that bullish trend don't work if is below 4371.16.

Original Caption

https://marketchartpattern.substack.com/p/markets-nasdaq-100-completes-a-key?utm_source=youtube

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal