Prediction Case File
BTCUSDTcryptobearishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

MMCrypto2025-11-26T11:56:31weeklytechnical
Live Outcome
-12.58%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
87,050.13
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
54,232
Predicted objective
Invalidation
98,000
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
87,010
Original Analyst Trend
Bearish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bearish
Normalized Market Direction
Bearish
Initial Target Distance
37.7%
Initial Invalidation Distance
12.58%
Risk / Reward
3
Timeframe
Weekly
Live Position
-12.58%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

60%
Principal
80%
Actionable
60%
Overall
Principal60.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate60.00%
Actionable80.00%
Derived Quality68.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-11-26T11:56:31
First Checked
2026-05-19T02:08:08
Last Checked
2026-05-19T02:08:08
Resolved
2026-05-19T02:08:08
Resolved At
2026-05-19T02:08:08
Resolved Candle
2024-11-21T11:00:00
Max High
98,384.86
Max High At
2024-11-21T11:00:00
Min Low
75,630.76
Min Low At
2024-11-08T14:00:00
Time To Result
4,166.18h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

MMCrypto
YouTube · @MMCryptoTube
Reliability
43.45
Success Rate
28.7%
Consistency
85.72
Risk Adjusted
-15.05
Avg Return
-4.39%
Avg Quality
3.36
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
74Fqj0YVv0A
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analysis focuses on Bitcoin's price action, referencing a previous prediction of a drop to $82,000, which was accurate. The presenter highlights the importance of the $98,000 level as former support, now resistance. Breaking below the EMA ribbon on the weekly chart is noted as a bearish signal. The analysis identifies a potential dead cat bounce scenario if Bitcoin fails to surpass $98,000. A key price target is $54,232, based on the 300-week moving average, which has accurately predicted bear market bottoms in the past. The analyst mentions it is very unlikely, as he does sees it as the major and more probable bearish target, that in case the price of bitcoin reaches 98000, it could change to a bullish trend.

Original Caption

Bitcoin what now Instantly Remove 7kg TOXIC WASTE from Your Intestines! [easy trick] https://youtu.be/AI5C3W4xnZo (click)

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal