Prediction Case File
BTCUSDTcryptobullishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Crypto Jebb2025-11-27T00:19:45weeklytechnical
Live Outcome
-1.79%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
90,249.03
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
102,331
Predicted objective
Invalidation
88,637
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
89,931
Original Analyst Trend
Bullish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bullish
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
13.39%
Initial Invalidation Distance
1.79%
Risk / Reward
7.49
Timeframe
Weekly
Live Position
-1.79%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

60%
Principal
60%
Actionable
60%
Overall
Principal60.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate60.00%
Actionable60.00%
Derived Quality64.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-11-27T00:19:45
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-12-01T00:00:00
Resolved At
2025-12-01T00:00:00
Resolved Candle
2025-12-01T00:00:00
Max High
91,950
Max High At
-
Min Low
90,249.03
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
95.67h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Crypto Jebb
YouTube · @CryptoJebb
Reliability
43.95
Success Rate
29.33%
Consistency
88.55
Risk Adjusted
-9
Avg Return
-2.5%
Avg Quality
3.42
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
ujBXphwq7Lg
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analysis identifies the potential for a Bitcoin rally, estimating a rise to $94,000, and possibly to $100,000. It describes an hourly chart of Bitcoin and a 50-week moving average as a possible next major level of resistance with Bitcoin having seemingly completed the first leg of what could be a four-year having cycle bear market, noting that a break beyond the 50-week moving average may signal a mid-cycle correction or the commencement of a super cycle in 2026.The analysis also mentions a bull trend as quantitative tightening ends, which historically precedes a crypto crash.

Original Caption

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Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal