Prediction Case File
DOGEUSDTcryptobullishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

More Crypto Online2025-11-28T02:22:23intradaytechnical
Live Outcome
-8.32%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
0.14998
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
0.186
Predicted objective
Invalidation
0.1375
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
0.1546
Original Analyst Trend
Bearish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bullish
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
24.02%
Initial Invalidation Distance
8.32%
Risk / Reward
2.89
Timeframe
Intraday
Live Position
-8.32%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

60%
Principal
80%
Actionable
80%
Overall
Principal60.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate80.00%
Actionable80.00%
Derived Quality76.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-11-28T02:22:23
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-12-01T03:00:00
Resolved At
2025-12-01T03:00:00
Resolved Candle
2025-12-01T03:00:00
Max High
0.15554
Max High At
-
Min Low
0.14825
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
72.62h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

More Crypto Online
YouTube · @morecryptoonline
Reliability
46.92
Success Rate
33.4%
Consistency
84.65
Risk Adjusted
-14.95
Avg Return
-4.52%
Avg Quality
3.54
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
P-kqHOwOUUU
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analysis focuses on DOGE/USD using a one-hour chart. DOGE remains in a corrective pullback within a downward trend channel. No breakout evidence to the upside yet. Key observation: a reaction at the lower boundary line of the channel and the 61.8% retracement level. The analyst emphasizes a need for a break above the upper boundary line for bullish confirmation, targeting initially 0.1860 and then 0.22. For reversal confirmation, a five-wave move upward is required. The analyst notes a potential five-wave move occurring. The support zone for a Wave 2 pullback, the analyst identifies that bulls should defend the range between 0.1375 and 0.1471; otherwise, control will be lost. A break below a short-term yellow trend line could signal the start of a pullback, potentially Wave 2. A three-wave pullback is expected, holding above 0.1375. Breaching the upper blue trendline would be the first actual confirmation, which is important to note.

Original Caption

This video provides a professional Elliott Wave and technical analysis of Dogecoin (DOGE), focusing on current market structure, key support and resistance zones, and potential bullish and bearish scenarios. The goal is to give viewers a clear, educational overview of DOGE’s current position within the broader crypto market. ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- MCO Global: https://www.mcoglobal.com/ ️ Join the FREE Newsletter: https://mcoglobal.com/newsletter/ Join the More Crypto Online Community: https://www.mcoglobal.com/memberships OR https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCngIhBkikUe6e7tZTjpKK7Q/join OR https://www.patreon.com/morecryptoonline Join the MCO Stocks & S&P500 Community: https://www.patreon.com/moretradingonline ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Social Media: X / Twitter: https://x.com/Morecryptoonl Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/morecryptoonline_official/ All Links: https://linktr.ee/morecryptoonline ️ Contact: info@morecryptoonline.com ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Exchanges & Brokers (Affiliate Links): Trade on Bybit: https://partner.bybit.com/b/MCO Trade on Bitget: https://partner.bitget.com/bg/MoreCryptoOnline Trade with XTB – a global, regulated broker offering 7,100+ stocks and 1,400 ETFs https://geolink.xtb.com/XjNyk (Please note: XTB services are not available to U.S. clients.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Research & Tools (Affiliate Links): Tradingview - Chart software Get a $15 discount on your first subscription: https://www.tradingview.com/?aff_id=108760 Bitcoin Magazine Pro – On-chain data & research Get 20% off with code: 20MCO https://www.bitcoinmagazinepro.com CoinTracking – Portfolio & tax tracking Get 10% lifetime discount with this link: https://cointracking.info/?ref=B776587 Protect your cryptocurrencies with Trezor: https://bit.ly/morecryptoonline Protect your cryptocurrencies with Ledger: https://shop.ledger.com/?r=0fb3c8be2e46 Stay safe with NordVPN: https://go.nordvpn.net/SH4s0 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ️ Disclaimer All content is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial or investment advice, nor an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any financial instrument. Analyses reflect personal opinions and may change without notice. No warranty of accuracy is given and no liability is accepted for losses or damages arising from reliance on this material. Trading and investing involve risk; always consider your own circumstances and consult a qualified advisor if necessary. Affiliate links related to cryptocurrency exchanges are not available to residents of the United Kingdom, the United States, or any restricted jurisdictions. Other affiliate links (e.g. VPNs, wallets, software tools) are unaffected.

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal