Prediction Case File
BTCUSDTcryptobearishVerified Correct

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

KG TRADING - Crypto Elliott Waves2025-11-28T14:03:49dailytechnical
Live Outcome
20.12%
Performance since published
Correct
Publish Price
92,445.32
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
73,844
Predicted objective
Invalidation
99,677
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
91,191
Original Analyst Trend
Bearish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bearish
Normalized Market Direction
Bearish
Initial Target Distance
20.12%
Initial Invalidation Distance
7.82%
Risk / Reward
2.57
Timeframe
Daily
Live Position
20.12%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

80%
Principal
60%
Actionable
80%
Overall
Principal80.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate80.00%
Actionable60.00%
Derived Quality76.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-11-28T14:03:49
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2026-02-03T00:00:00
Resolved At
2026-02-03T00:00:00
Resolved Candle
2026-02-03T00:00:00
Max High
92,796
Max High At
-
Min Low
90,180.63
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
1,593.93h
Result
Correct
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

KG TRADING - Crypto Elliott Waves
YouTube · @KGTradingCrypto
Reliability
49.81
Success Rate
37.52%
Consistency
80.94
Risk Adjusted
-16.84
Avg Return
-3.1%
Avg Quality
3.54
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
Dc4WCJznn-E
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analysis suggests Bitcoin is currently in a corrective phase, targeting a price range between 67922 and 73844. There are two scenarios are exposed in the video. The bullish scenario depends on maintaining levels, with a potential bullish target above 100000 or bearish target around 73844 area. A bearish outcome, supported by Elliott Wave analysis, anticipates a further decline in Bitcoin's value with prices potentially reaching the 70000 area. The analysis establishes 99677 as a critical level; surpassing this point would invalidate the bearish outlook.

Original Caption

Join our Safe and Private Discord Community → Daily analysis requests, Elliott Wave education & Q&As. In this video, we apply Elliott Wave analysis to the crypto market. Learn how to identify trading opportunities, manage risk, and apply the Wave Principle in real time. Perfect for traders who want structured and professional market insights. DISCORD MEMBERSHIPS Patreon Membership → https://www.patreon.com/c/KGTrading YouTube Membership → https://www.youtube.com/@KGTradingCrypto 🟢 GET KGT INDICATOR Free Version 1.0 → Monthly Discord Membership Free Version 2.0 → Lifetime Discord Membership You can send email me directly to → kg.trading.ew@gmail.com Follow on X → https://x.com/KGTradingCrypto Instagram → https://www.instagram.com/kg_trading_elliott_wave/ 🟠 Stock Market Channel → https://www.youtube.com/@KGtradingStocks 🟣 Disclaimer This video is for educational purposes only. We do not provide financial advice. All predictions are speculative. Do your own research and consult a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. #ElliottWave #CryptoTrading #BitcoinAnalysis

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal