Prediction Case File
SMCYstockbearishLive Pending

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

MarketBeat2025-11-29T19:01:09monthlyfundamental
Live Outcome
46.31%
Performance since published
Pending
Publish Price
9.40499973
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
5.04990005
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
3.07
Predicted objective
Invalidation
10
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
9.46
Original Analyst Trend
Bullish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bearish
Normalized Market Direction
Bearish
Initial Target Distance
67.36%
Initial Invalidation Distance
6.33%
Risk / Reward
10.65
Timeframe
Monthly
Live Position
46.31%
active
Current Price
5.04990005
Live Score
43.13
Distance to Target Now
39.21%
Distance to Invalidation Now
98.02%
Price Structure Valid
Yes
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

60%
Principal
60%
Actionable
80%
Overall
Principal60.00%
Comprehensible100.00%
Accurate100.00%
Actionable60.00%
Derived Quality80.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-11-29T19:01:09
First Checked
2026-05-19T02:08:08
Last Checked
2026-06-11T01:31:43
Resolved
-
Resolved At
-
Resolved Candle
-
Max High
9.80000019
Max High At
2025-12-08T17:30:00
Min Low
4.80000019
Min Low At
2026-03-23T13:30:00
Time To Result
-h
Result
Pending
Validation Status
Daily
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

MarketBeat
YouTube · @MarketBeatMedia
Reliability
54.25
Success Rate
43.88%
Consistency
45.14
Risk Adjusted
-4.74
Avg Return
5.49%
Avg Quality
3.54
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
d9MD6h9rodw
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The video analyzes congressional trading data, highlighting stocks with notable activity in November. It identifies LCII as having a 25.9% increase since late October following congressional purchases between 1 and 5 million, potentially driven by a market recovery. Conversely, LGIH is down 32.6% since October 27, despite a purchase in the 15,000-50,000 range, with poor earnings potentially being the cause. Similarly, YieldMax SMCI, which is not really a stock but an ETF, experienced losses of 36.9%. A congressional member bought this with an amount in the 15,000-50,000 range with little analyst coverage that had a negative earnings report. Finally, K2 Gold gets mentioned for the Bridget's Buy paper watchlist as a small company. No additional information is inferred.

Original Caption

November was a tough month for obscure small-cap stocks, but the ultimate insiders still landed some huge gains even as the rest of the market sank. Members of Congress scored big on a few little-known names — while others took major hits. We break down six obscure congressional trades that outperformed a down month… and three that went the other direction. Plus, see what made her paper-trading watch list in this week’s Bridget’s Buys: https://www.marketbeat.com/bridget Dig into the MarketBeat Congressional Trades Screener to spot unusual buying, surprising moves, and potential ideas worth researching for yourself: https://www.marketbeat.com/congress-stock-trades/ Get the FREE List of the Top 5 Underrated Dividend Stock with Strong Potential: https://www.marketbeat.com/y/dividend Subscribe now to stay ahead of the market: https://marketbeat.com/y/youtube Text 'YouTube' to 68285 for FREE SMS breaking news alerts on top stocks. Get MarketBeat All Access FREE for 30 Days: https://www.marketbeat.com/y/access #StocksToBuy #stockpicks #investingtips #investingvideos #CongressionalTrades #SmallCapStocks #InsiderTradingData #MarketBeat #BridgetsBuys #LCI #LGIHomes #WhiteMountains #AlexandriaRealEstate #NewellBrands #SMCY #GoldStocks #JuniorMiners #StockMarketNews #Investing #Trading #MarketUpdate #ETFInvesting #DividendStocks #HousingMarket #RVStocks #REITs #InsuranceStocks #ConsumerStocks #PaperTrading #StockIdeas #MarketAnalysis #StockResearch #ValueInvesting #GrowthInvesting #ETFs #OptionsTrading #CoveredCalls #TopStocks #WallStreet #FinanceNews #StockAlerts #Economy #PortfolioIdeas #NewInvestors #LongTermInvesting #StockMarketEducation DISCLAIMER: MarketBeat’s videos are for educational and informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, legal, or tax advice. We are not registered investment advisers, and nothing herein is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security or strategy. Investing involves risk—including the potential loss of principal—so always perform your own due diligence and consult a licensed professional before acting. All opinions are those of the presenters and may change without notice. Presenters and MarketBeat personnel may own or trade the securities discussed. Past performance is not indicative of future results; any examples or case studies shown are illustrative and not typical. Some links or promotions mentioned may be affiliate partnerships that compensate MarketBeat at no additional cost to you. MarketBeat and its representatives accept no liability for any losses arising from reliance on this content.

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
Yes
Verified Outcome
No
Included in Analyst Score
No
Included in Target Consensus
Yes
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
Not Final Result
Target Consensus Exclusion
-