Prediction Case File
BTC1!cryptobullishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Crypto Kid2025-12-01T03:28:34monthlytechnical
Live Outcome
-11.59%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
91,620
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
145,000
Predicted objective
Invalidation
81,000
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
91,065
Original Analyst Trend
Bearish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bullish
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
58.26%
Initial Invalidation Distance
11.59%
Risk / Reward
5.03
Timeframe
Monthly
Live Position
-11.59%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

40%
Principal
60%
Actionable
40%
Overall
Principal40.00%
Comprehensible60.00%
Accurate60.00%
Actionable60.00%
Derived Quality52.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-12-01T03:28:34
First Checked
2026-05-19T01:38:19
Last Checked
2026-05-19T01:38:19
Resolved
2026-05-19T01:38:19
Resolved At
2026-05-19T01:38:19
Resolved Candle
2026-02-01T23:00:00
Max High
98,200
Max High At
2026-01-14T17:00:00
Min Low
75,970
Min Low At
2026-02-01T23:00:00
Time To Result
4,054.15h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Crypto Kid
YouTube · @Crypto-Kid
Reliability
43.24
Success Rate
28.24%
Consistency
83.95
Risk Adjusted
-15.17
Avg Return
-4.23%
Avg Quality
3.47
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
lmqEOiVR5I8
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The video provides an analysis of the Bitcoin (BTC1!USD) price chart, stating it is currently at $91,065. The video notes it needs to break above $93,200 to head towards $96,000 - $97,000 region, with the potential target of reaching $107,000, testing the 200 daily moving average by mid January. A slow move to $81,000 has been mentioned as a failure. The video makes a forecast for SPX to 8000. It is also mentioned the end of quantitative tightening (QT) may lead to a dump in the market followed by quantitative easing (QE), which could take 4 months for capital to transfer into equities. The video does not provide particular technical insight for MSTR, and is struggling.

Original Caption

🟨 WEEX: https://weex.com/events/welcome-event?vipCode=2hwu&qrType=activity FREE $10-100 🟠 PIONEX: https://cryptokid.io/PionexBonus DEPOSIT $100, GET $100 BONUS Coinflare: https://cryptokid.io/Coinflare FREE REWARDS IN FLARESHOP TRADE ON BYBIT: https://cryptokid.io/BYBIT ️ Chart on TradingView: https://cryptokid.io/TradingView Become a student at Crypto Kid Academy: https://cryptokid.com Join the Crypto Kids Community: https://t.me/CryptoKids You can also follow me on: 𝕏 Twitter: https://x.com/CryptoKid Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/cryptokid TikTok: http://www.tiktok.com/@efecryptokid Get in Touch: contact@cryptokid.com I'm Crypto Kid, and I just wanted to say thank you for watching my videos. I've been a Bitcoin advocate since I was 12 years old. I make videos on the Crypto Kid channel to spread cryptocurrency adoption, and help my audience become financially sovereign. #Bitcoin #Crypto #Trading Timestamps: 00:00 Overview 02:46 Bitcoin Analysis 04:58 December Begins 11:36 Important Events 16:26 Saylor 19:49 Tether 22:58 Outro DISCLAIMER The content, opinions and other information in the videos are intended as general information and for entertainment purposes only and it is not to be construed as professional or financial advice. VIRTUAL ASSET INVESTMENTS ARE HIGH RISK AND MAY RESULT IN THE LOSS OF YOUR CAPITAL. Information in the videos is solely the opinion of the speaker who is not a financial advisor nor a firm. I do not have any representations or warranties of any kind, expressed or implied, regarding the accuracy, validity, reliability, availability, or completeness of any information. Any reliance you place on such information is strictly at your own risk. I, including directors, officers, employees, affiliates, agents and representatives, assumes no liability for any errors or omissions in the information presented nor the availability of said information. I disclaim responsibility for any losses, injuries or damages resulting from the display or use of any information. Investing always comes with a considerable risk. I recommend viewers to do their own research before engaging in any trade activity. The channel may contain links to other channels, internet sites or technologies supplied by third parties. I do not exercise control over legality of Third-Party Sites or their compliance with applicable laws. Therefore, I explicitly disclaim liability for any loss or damage arising from your use or access to any Third-Party Sites. I do not intend to make any direct or indirect market communication to users and consumers based in the United Arab Emirates, United Kingdom, the United States of America, India or China. By accessing this channel, you acknowledge and agree to the terms outlined in this disclaimer. PROMOTION AND AFFILIATES The appearance of third-party advertisements and hyperlinks does not constitute an endorsement, guarantee, warranty, or recommendation by me. I am not your broker, intermediary, representative, agent, or advisor. This channel is not responsible for the performance of sponsors or affiliates. The promotion only reflects my personal honest opinion of the product. I may receive compensation for the promotions in my videos. Conduct your own research before deciding to use any third-party service. This video contains affiliate partnership with Bybit, WEEX, Pionex & Coinflare

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal