Prediction Case File
ADAUSDTcryptobullishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Discover Crypto2025-12-03T06:01:09monthlynews
Live Outcome
-31.94%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
0.4408
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
5.5
Predicted objective
Invalidation
0.3
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
0.42783
Original Analyst Trend
Bearish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bullish
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
1,147.73%
Initial Invalidation Distance
31.94%
Risk / Reward
35.93
Timeframe
Monthly
Live Position
-31.94%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

40%
Principal
60%
Actionable
60%
Overall
Principal40.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate60.00%
Actionable60.00%
Derived Quality60.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-12-03T06:01:09
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2026-01-31T00:00:00
Resolved At
2026-01-31T00:00:00
Resolved Candle
2026-01-31T00:00:00
Max High
0.4541
Max High At
-
Min Low
0.4265
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
1,409.97h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Discover Crypto
YouTube · @DiscoverCrypto_
Reliability
43
Success Rate
28.24%
Consistency
76.64
Risk Adjusted
-15.03
Avg Return
-4.66%
Avg Quality
3.23
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
poWaYfVq7vM
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The video discusses the potential impact of USDC being added to Cardano. Currently, Cardano is priced at $0.427830 and has been down 64.3% over the last year. It cites news that USDC is coming to Cardano if a government proposal passes, a claim allegedly confirmed by Charles Hoskinson, the founder of Cardano. USDC is the sixth-largest cryptocurrency and the second-largest stablecoin. The video draws a comparison to Solana, where the addition of USDC on January 26, 2021, at a price of $3.50, led to a 1200% increase in 100 days, reaching $45.03. The video suggests if Cardano experiences a similar 1200% pump, it could reach $5.50.

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal