Prediction Case File
JASMYUSDTcryptobearishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

ImpossibleAnalysis2025-12-04T18:27:56monthlytechnical
Live Outcome
-45.75%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
0.00706
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
0.0046
Predicted objective
Invalidation
0.01029
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
0.0072
Original Analyst Trend
Bearish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bearish
Normalized Market Direction
Bearish
Initial Target Distance
34.84%
Initial Invalidation Distance
45.75%
Risk / Reward
0.76
Timeframe
Monthly
Live Position
-45.75%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

60%
Principal
80%
Actionable
60%
Overall
Principal60.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate60.00%
Actionable80.00%
Derived Quality68.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-12-04T18:27:56
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2026-01-08T17:00:00
Resolved At
2026-01-08T17:00:00
Resolved Candle
2026-01-08T17:00:00
Max High
-
Max High At
-
Min Low
-
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
838.53h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

ImpossibleAnalysis
YouTube · @ImpossibleAnalysis
Reliability
42.44
Success Rate
27.14%
Consistency
72.57
Risk Adjusted
-20.44
Avg Return
-8.43%
Avg Quality
3.44
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
vNHpCn1x76c
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The video analyzes JASMYUSDT. The analyst indicates that JASMY has failed to have a rally back to the 0.236 fibonacci retracement level. If Bitcoin rallies to $100,000 and JASMY fails to retrace to 0.0087, a further move down to approximately 0.0046 is anticipated. If JASMY retraces to 0.0087 but fails to break the 0.382 fibonacci retracement around 0.01, the price is expected to be bearish. Only breaking over the 0.382 retracement and downtrend would signal that the bottom is in and a new bull run could begin back to the 0.618 retracement at 0.013. As long as JASMY remains below the 0.236 or 0.382, there is no reason to assume that it is bullish.

Original Caption

Bitcoin and Crypto Currency Market Price Prediction and Technical Analysis - Meme Coins like Doge Coin, Jasmy, Pepe, XRP, Luna Classic Lunc and More! Become a member and request TA videos: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCS-mnyBQ1NVyTKll2S11qHQ/join Disclaimer: By watching this video, you acknowledge and agree that the content provided is only an opinion, and you are responsible for any actions that you take.. This is NOT financial advice.

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal