Prediction Case File
TSLAstockbullishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Wicked Stocks2025-12-05T03:42:08monthlytechnical
Live Outcome
-12.87%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
454.51000977
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
528.94
Predicted objective
Invalidation
396.02
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
454.48
Original Analyst Trend
Bullish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bullish
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
16.38%
Initial Invalidation Distance
12.87%
Risk / Reward
1.27
Timeframe
Monthly
Live Position
-12.87%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

80%
Principal
80%
Actionable
80%
Overall
Principal80.00%
Comprehensible100.00%
Accurate80.00%
Actionable80.00%
Derived Quality84.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-12-05T03:42:08
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2026-02-05T05:00:00
Resolved At
2026-02-05T05:00:00
Resolved Candle
2026-02-05T05:00:00
Max High
458.86999512
Max High At
-
Min Low
451.66000366
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
1,489.28h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Wicked Stocks
YouTube · @wickedstocks8906
Reliability
46.9
Success Rate
32.95%
Consistency
89.79
Risk Adjusted
-4.34
Avg Return
-0.83%
Avg Quality
3.84
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
5NOtmrmVP0k
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analysis, dated December 5, 2025, begins with a weekly chart review of Tesla (TSLA). The bottom of a channel at 400.02 has been tested. Anticipating upward rotation, it is suggested that holding above 400.02 would keep 528.94 in reach as a 2-3 month target. The daily chart shows a two-sided framework within a wedge, between 402.04 and 448.16. Having closed above 448.16, a target of 474.07 is set for the next 3-5 days, with 528.94 remaining a 3-5 week target. If 448.16 can contain selling, then 488.53 remains a 2-3 week target. The rising channel top on the weekly chart intersects at 507.20. If TSLA closes today below 448.16, there is a risk of falling back to the low 400s within a couple of weeks. It is recommend exiting any long positions and to be aware that there is still an expected positive trend longer term above 402.04.

Original Caption

Daily Tesla (TSLA) analysis with key levels, trends, and insights—can the bulls maintain momentum? 🟢 Want To See Our 2 Favorite Stock Picks This Week? https://wickedstocks.com/stocks-picks/ In this video, we bring you technical stock analysis for Tesla. We hope to bring you directional clarity for Tesla stock based on the important price support and resistance levels for December 5th, 2025. --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Key Resources: Downloadable PDF for Support & Resistance Levels: https://wickedstocks.com/2025/12/04/tesla-tsla-daily-analysis-12-05-25/ Free Guide: How to Use Our Trading Levels https://wickedstocks.com/resources/ Join 1,000+ traders getting our free weekly newsletter—exclusive stock picks and actionable trade tips inside - https://wickedstocks.com/trading-success/ Disclaimer: Not financial advice, just our professional opinions. Channels: Website: https://wickedstocks.com/ X: https://x.com/wickedstocks Questions? Drop a comment below! #tesla #tsla #stockscanner #stockanalysis #stocks #stockmarket #stockstobuy #teslastock #elonmusk #sp500 #spy #nasdaq #teslanews #teslastockupdate #tslastock #teslamodels #teslaprice #topstocks #stocktrading #daytrading #daytrade #stockstotrade #trend

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal