Prediction Case File
ETHUSDTcryptobullishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Wolves of Crypto2025-12-06T16:00:51weeklytechnical
Live Outcome
-17.81%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
3,041.78
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
4,800
Predicted objective
Invalidation
2,500
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
3,179
Original Analyst Trend
Bullish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bearish
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
57.8%
Initial Invalidation Distance
17.81%
Risk / Reward
3.25
Timeframe
Weekly
Live Position
-17.81%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

40%
Principal
40%
Actionable
40%
Overall
Principal40.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate60.00%
Actionable40.00%
Derived Quality52.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-12-06T16:00:51
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2026-01-31T00:00:00
Resolved At
2026-01-31T00:00:00
Resolved Candle
2026-01-31T00:00:00
Max High
-
Max High At
-
Min Low
-
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
1,327.98h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Wolves of Crypto
YouTube · @WolvesOfCrypto_
Reliability
49.12
Success Rate
36.57%
Consistency
86.92
Risk Adjusted
-17.47
Avg Return
-2.45%
Avg Quality
3.52
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
QKDz4sKaayc
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

This is a weekly timeframe analysis.The analyst claims that Ethereum has underperformed Bitcoin, down 46% from its high compared to Bitcoin's 36%. It notes that Ethereum failed to break its 2021 all-time high. The Total3 market cap, excluding Bitcoin and Ethereum, also failed to break its all-time high. The analyst claims, Altcoins generally, are not performing well in the market. Bitcoin Dominance is aggressively uptrending suggesting the top is probably over.A trend line drawing to point October 2026 as the cycle to be over, targeting around 130K to Bitcoin.The video suggests that while allcoins are not ruined due to many cycles the Bitcoin is in a bearish trend, and thus a heavy caution on long positions is suggested.

Original Caption

Topic Overview 0:00-2:46 Bitunix Exchange 2:46-3:46 Analysis 3:46-12:23 Bitunix Exchange 12:23-13:23 Bitunix Exchange Referral Link (Referral Code: 543w) - NON KYC - Lifelong 15% Fee Discount - Up To $8000 In Rewards: https://www.bitunix.com/register?vipCode=543w Telegram Community Group Chat: https://t.me/+TD-btyDvq0xjOWU1 The Crypto Academy Website: https://www.thecryptoacademy.courses/ Business Inquiries Contact: wolvesofcryptocontact@gmail.com LEGAL DISCLAIMER: It is worth noting that this video, as with all Wolves Of Crypto content, is a representation of my personal opinions on the market and should in no way be considered financial advice in any form, as I am not a qualified financial advisor. I am not responsible for your investment decisions or outcomes, analyze the charts for yourself before proceeding with a trade. This applies to every investment decision in cryptocurrency, stock market and any financial market - including investment decisions directly related to Bitcoin BTC, Ethereum ETH & any other altcoin. This also applies regardless of the wording that I use in my content such as phrases like "you should do x" and "I suggest you do y". Additionally, viewers are responsible for anything that happens on cryptocurrency exchanges promoted on this channel.

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal
ETHUSDT Bullish Signal by Wolves of Crypto | Tahlil Plus AI