Prediction Case File
VIRTUALUSDTcryptobearishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

More Crypto Online2025-12-22T01:23:36intradaytechnical
Live Outcome
-16.35%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
0.7254
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
0.597
Predicted objective
Invalidation
0.844
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
0.686
Original Analyst Trend
Bearish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bearish
Normalized Market Direction
Bearish
Initial Target Distance
17.7%
Initial Invalidation Distance
16.35%
Risk / Reward
1.08
Timeframe
Intraday
Live Position
-16.35%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

80%
Principal
80%
Actionable
80%
Overall
Principal80.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate60.00%
Actionable80.00%
Derived Quality76.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-12-22T01:23:36
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2026-01-03T03:00:00
Resolved At
2026-01-03T03:00:00
Resolved Candle
2026-01-03T03:00:00
Max High
-
Max High At
-
Min Low
-
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
289.6h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

More Crypto Online
YouTube · @morecryptoonline
Reliability
46.92
Success Rate
33.4%
Consistency
84.65
Risk Adjusted
-14.95
Avg Return
-4.52%
Avg Quality
3.54
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
DylLhAXrXr8
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analysis of Virtual Protocol on the 4-hour timeframe indicates a potential 1-2 setup, though a confirmed low is pending. The prevailing narrative suggests a further downward movement. Currently, the asset is considered to be within an extended fifth wave of a larger C-wave correction. Key support levels are identified between 59.7 cents and 43.6 cents, corresponding to the 61.8% and 78.6% Fibonacci retracement levels respectively. The immediate price action is seen as a possible bounce within a fourth wave, with resistance levels at 84.4 cents, 79.8 cents, and 74.3 cents. The nearest micro-support area is between 65.2 cents and 69.5 cents. The overall trend remains bearish as long as the price stays below 84.4 cents. A break above this threshold would signal a bullish reversal. Given the current market sentiment, one more lower leg is deemed probable before a potential turnaround. Technically, the current correction is deep enough to be considered complete, but a confirmed breakout signal to the upside is absent. Caution is recommended, likening the current situation to 'catching a falling knife'.

Original Caption

This video provides a professional Elliott Wave and technical analysis of VIRTUAL (Virtuals Protocol), examining its price structure, key support and resistance zones, and both bullish and bearish scenarios. The goal is to help viewers understand the coin´s current position within the broader crypto market from a clear, educational, and data-driven perspective. ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- MCO Global: https://www.mcoglobal.com/ ️ Join the FREE Newsletter: https://mcoglobal.com/newsletter/ Join the More Crypto Online Community: https://www.mcoglobal.com/memberships OR https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCngIhBkikUe6e7tZTjpKK7Q/join OR https://www.patreon.com/morecryptoonline Join the MCO Stocks & S&P500 Community: https://www.patreon.com/moretradingonline ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Social Media: X / Twitter: https://x.com/Morecryptoonl Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/morecryptoonline_official/ All Links: https://linktr.ee/morecryptoonline ️ Contact: info@morecryptoonline.com ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Exchanges & Brokers (Affiliate Links): Trade on Bybit: https://partner.bybit.com/b/MCO Trade on Bitget: https://partner.bitget.com/bg/MoreCryptoOnline Trade with XTB – a global, regulated broker offering 7,100+ stocks and 1,400 ETFs https://geolink.xtb.com/XjNyk (Please note: XTB services are not available to U.S. clients.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Research & Tools (Affiliate Links): Tradingview - Chart software Get a $15 discount on your first subscription: https://www.tradingview.com/?aff_id=108760 Bitcoin Magazine Pro – On-chain data & research Get 20% off with code: 20MCO https://www.bitcoinmagazinepro.com CoinTracking – Portfolio & tax tracking Get 10% lifetime discount with this link: https://cointracking.info/?ref=B776587 Protect your cryptocurrencies with Trezor: https://bit.ly/morecryptoonline Protect your cryptocurrencies with Ledger: https://shop.ledger.com/?r=0fb3c8be2e46 Stay safe with NordVPN: https://go.nordvpn.net/SH4s0 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ️ Disclaimer All content is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial or investment advice, nor an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any financial instrument. Analyses reflect personal opinions and may change without notice. No warranty of accuracy is given and no liability is accepted for losses or damages arising from reliance on this material. Trading and investing involve risk; always consider your own circumstances and consult a qualified advisor if necessary. Affiliate links related to cryptocurrency exchanges are not available to residents of the United Kingdom, the United States, or any restricted jurisdictions. Other affiliate links (e.g. VPNs, wallets, software tools) are unaffected.

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal