Prediction Case File
NVDAstockbearishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Market | Chart | Pattern2025-11-21T04:34:41dailytechnical
Live Outcome
-18.82%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
180.94000244
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
160
Predicted objective
Invalidation
215
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
180.25
Original Analyst Trend
Bearish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bearish
Normalized Market Direction
Bearish
Initial Target Distance
11.57%
Initial Invalidation Distance
18.82%
Risk / Reward
0.61
Timeframe
Daily
Live Position
-18.82%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

40%
Principal
20%
Actionable
40%
Overall
Principal40.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate60.00%
Actionable20.00%
Derived Quality48.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-11-21T04:34:41
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2026-04-27T04:00:00
Resolved At
2026-04-27T04:00:00
Resolved Candle
2026-04-27T04:00:00
Max High
180.94000244
Max High At
-
Min Low
180.94000244
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
3,767.42h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Market | Chart | Pattern
YouTube · @marketchartpattern
Reliability
57.98
Success Rate
48.8%
Consistency
0
Risk Adjusted
732.01
Avg Return
735.12%
Avg Quality
3.82
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
r3nW4L0jak4
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analysis focuses on NVIDIA Corporation's recent price action, highlighting a notable one-day decline of approximately 3.15%. This is discussed in the context of a previous, more significant 6.2% sell-off that initiated a corrective downside trajectory. The prevailing sentiment is attributed to sellers capitalizing on recent rallies. The speaker emphasizes NVIDIA's substantial weighting within market indices, particularly the NASDAQ 100. Consequently, a continued downward movement in NVIDIA's stock price is projected to exert a negative influence on the broader index. The current price level is identified around 180.25. An inferred target for this continued downward descent is set at 160.00, corresponding to a key support level observed on the chart. Conversely, the analysis would be invalidated if the price were to rally above 215.00, which marks a significant resistance or a reversal point from the current bearish momentum. The timeframe for this observation and implied prediction is daily, based on individual trading day movements.

Original Caption

This is a clip from https://marketchartpattern.substack.com/p/daily-update-stocks-move-lower-from?utm_source=youtube_shorts See the full video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9aXMzPso6rY #shorts #substack

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal