Prediction Case File
ETHUSDTcryptobearishVerified Correct

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Jacob Crypto Bury2025-11-21T03:00:39weeklytechnical
Live Outcome
28.34%
Performance since published
Correct
Publish Price
2,790.78
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
2,000
Predicted objective
Invalidation
3,500
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
2,813.71
Original Analyst Trend
Bearish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bearish
Normalized Market Direction
Bearish
Initial Target Distance
28.34%
Initial Invalidation Distance
25.41%
Risk / Reward
1.11
Timeframe
Weekly
Live Position
28.34%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

60%
Principal
60%
Actionable
60%
Overall
Principal60.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate60.00%
Actionable60.00%
Derived Quality64.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-11-21T03:00:39
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2026-02-05T00:00:00
Resolved At
2026-02-05T00:00:00
Resolved Candle
2026-02-05T00:00:00
Max High
2,790.78
Max High At
-
Min Low
2,790.78
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
1,820.98h
Result
Correct
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Jacob Crypto Bury
YouTube · @JacobCryptoBury
Reliability
44.33
Success Rate
30.1%
Consistency
80.23
Risk Adjusted
-26.25
Avg Return
-6.72%
Avg Quality
3.26
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
VWtZC84bpD8
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analysis highlights a prevailing bearish sentiment in the cryptocurrency market. The total crypto market capitalization is reported at $2.97 trillion, indicating a six-month low. Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is currently trading around $87,031.17, reflecting a 24-hour decline of 2.56% and a monthly drop of 22.03% from an approximate high of $115,000. Technical observations on the weekly chart for Bitcoin show the price positioned below its 50-week moving average. The analyst predicts a potential short-term relief rally for Bitcoin towards $95,908, which is expected to be met with resistance, leading to a subsequent downward movement. The primary target for accumulation is identified around the $60,000 mark. This bearish projection would be invalidated if Bitcoin's price were to surpass $100,000. Ethereum (ETHUSD) is noted at $2,813.71, experiencing a 3.81% fall within 24 hours, and a 42% correction from its peak around $4,900. The analyst anticipates further downside for Ethereum, suggesting an optimal accumulation range between $1,700 and $2,000. A move above $3,500 would negate this bearish outlook. The overall market sentiment, as indicated by the Fear & Greed Index at 11, signifies 'Extreme Fear,' yet the analyst does not perceive current prices as the definitive bottom for broad accumulation.

Original Caption

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Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
No
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Ready
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
Not Listed
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal