Prediction Case File
INTUstockbullishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

The Patient Investor2026-01-23T00:18:02weeklyfundamental
Live Outcome
-14.19%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
547.69000244
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
680
Predicted objective
Invalidation
470
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
524.92
Original Analyst Trend
Bearish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bullish
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
24.16%
Initial Invalidation Distance
14.19%
Risk / Reward
1.7
Timeframe
Weekly
Live Position
-14.19%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

80%
Principal
60%
Actionable
80%
Overall
Principal80.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate80.00%
Actionable60.00%
Derived Quality76.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2026-01-23T00:18:02
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2026-02-03T05:00:00
Resolved At
2026-02-03T05:00:00
Resolved Candle
2026-02-03T05:00:00
Max High
-
Max High At
-
Min Low
-
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
268.68h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

The Patient Investor
YouTube · @thepatientinvestorr
Reliability
46.94
Success Rate
33.49%
Consistency
82.73
Risk Adjusted
-7.99
Avg Return
-1.07%
Avg Quality
3.5
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
CElcIstMxSg
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analysis focuses on two software stocks, Salesforce (CRM) and Intuit (INTU), both identified as undervalued opportunities despite recent market downturns in the software sector. Salesforce, currently at $221.58, has seen a 32% decline over the last year. Fundamentally, the company has shown positive revenue growth (9% in subscription/support, 10% in overall revenue) and expanding margins. The company aims for $60 billion in revenue by FY30, which implies a reacceleration of 10% annual growth, a positive sign despite management previously missing their FY26 guidance by $8 billion. Salesforce's P/E ratio has dropped significantly from 80x to 17x, which the analyst views as a compelling valuation for a company expected to grow EPS by 14-15%. Intuit, trading at $524.92, has fallen 31% in the last six months. Its primary revenue streams come from Global Business Solutions (QuickBooks) and TurboTax, both considered sticky business models. TurboTax Live is showing strong growth. Credit Karma, an acquired app for credit score tracking, has returned to double-digit revenue growth (18%), contributing significantly to overall revenue with a total of $2.2 billion. Intuit's P/E multiple has also declined from 55x to 22x, while it maintains consistent EPS growth of 14-15%. The analyst believes both stocks are currently undervalued, with Salesforce offering a better asymmetrical bet due to its lower current valuation compared to Intuit.

Original Caption

Friends! In this video, I'm going to do an analysis on CRM stock & Intuit stock MY PORTFOLIO & DISCORD: https://www.patreon.com/patientinvestor MY TWITTER: https://twitter.com/patientinvestor FREE ACCESS To Fiscal.AI https://fiscal.ai/?via=Patient 0:00 CRM Stock 4:43 INTU Stock

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal