Prediction Case File
SPXstockbearishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Allen Reminick 2026-01-21T23:15:01dailytechnical
Live Outcome
-1.81%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
6,875.47998047
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
6,650
Predicted objective
Invalidation
7,000
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
6,800
Original Analyst Trend
Bearish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bearish
Normalized Market Direction
Bearish
Initial Target Distance
3.28%
Initial Invalidation Distance
1.81%
Risk / Reward
1.81
Timeframe
Daily
Live Position
-1.81%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

60%
Principal
60%
Actionable
60%
Overall
Principal60.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate60.00%
Actionable60.00%
Derived Quality64.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2026-01-21T23:15:01
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2026-01-28T05:00:00
Resolved At
2026-01-28T05:00:00
Resolved Candle
2026-01-28T05:00:00
Max High
-
Max High At
-
Min Low
-
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
149.73h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Allen Reminick
YouTube · @allenreminickmarketforecast
Reliability
43.4
Success Rate
40%
Consistency
91.07
Risk Adjusted
-0.95
Avg Return
2.71%
Avg Quality
3.36
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
5nA1O_4HBQU
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The S&P Futures market is anticipated to trend lower into the middle of February, potentially extending to March 2nd. As of January 21st, the market is in a support region around 6800. A short-term bounce is expected, aiming to fill a gap at 6975, possibly peaking by February 4th. Following this temporary rally, another decline is projected, targeting the 6650 area by February 12th. This movement is tied to a 68-trading day cycle and a 217-trading day cycle. The current sharp decline is seen as a necessary move to reset market sentiment before the anticipated bounce and subsequent larger decline phase. Despite the expected decline, the analysis does not suggest a sustained bear market, but rather a correction within a broader trend.

Original Caption

1-21-25 The S&P decline started yesterday, to mid-February. But with a short-term bounce in the next few days FIND THE MATRIXCHANNEL INDICATOR HERE https://tradeforecastmastery.com/matrixchannel-indicator-info Traders World Magazine 4th Quarter: http://www.tradersworld.com/issue98.pdf Allen Reminick is a market analyst, who provides and has provided market research to fund managers and traders for more than 40 years -- using unique mathematical tools he developed and a profound understanding of eastern astrology. In the context of this channel, Allen provides market directionality, which you can use with your trading system. Specific entries and exits are the responsibility of the viewer. His forecasts are of likely market ups and downs, not all of which will be exact market highs or lows, but still useful for minimizing risk. Services offering more detailed trading support may be available on the website. There are always multiple cycles going on in the markets. The skill is in identifying which cycles will dominate the target market during the target time period. You can learn to do this, as well as the risk-management techniques everyone needs. Market cycles are influenced by economic conditions. And cycles determine economic realities. It helps to identify those cycles beforehand. When Allen says market cycles, he means those that repeat Step-By-Step, or what we call Step Cycles. This is different from the usual understanding of cycles, including traditional Sinusoidal Waves. If you know where to look, you can forecast the stock market. Predict commodity markets, in almost any time frame. Forecast the bond market. Use futures or options or equities. This is beyond quantitative market analysis and technical market analysis. It is beyond fundamental market analysis. It is based on the broadest reality that influences the markets. Allen Reminick refined and expanded upon the secrets he learned at every seminar given by Dr. Jerome Baumring, in the late 1980s. Baumring is recognized worldwide as having broken the code of W. D. Gann. √ Step-By-Step Market Wave Patterns √ New Way to Understand Market Cycles √ You Can Predict Any Market www.marketforecastmastery.com We appreciate when people mention Allen's work elsewhere, but do please give him credit. Thanks. The information contained in this video is primarily for educational purposes, and should not be construed as investment advice. The risk of trading in securities markets can be substantial. U.S. Government Required Disclaimer - Commodity futures Trading Commission. Futures and options trading has large potential rewards, but also large potential risk. You must be aware of the risks and be willing to accept them in order to invest in the futures and options markets. Don't trade with money you cannot afford to lose. This website is neither a solicitation nor an offer to Buy/Sell futures or options. Nor is representation being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed on this website. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results. Individual results may vary, and testimonials are not claimed to represent typical results. All testimonials are by real people, and may not reflect the typical purchaser's experience, and are not intended to represent or guarantee that anyone will achieve the same or similar results. Market Forecast Mastery traders and employees will NEVER manage or offer to manage a customer or individual's options, stocks, currencies, futures, or any financial markets or securities account. If someone claiming to represent or be associated with Market Forecast Mastery or Trade Forecast Mastery solicits you for money or offers to manage you trading account, do not provide any personal information, and contact us immediately.

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal