Prediction Case File
ETHUSDTcryptobullishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Crypto Jebb2025-07-22T18:00:05weeklytechnical
Live Outcome
-18.97%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
3,702.43
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
7,389
Predicted objective
Invalidation
3,000
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
3,727
Original Analyst Trend
Bullish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bullish
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
99.57%
Initial Invalidation Distance
18.97%
Risk / Reward
5.25
Timeframe
Weekly
Live Position
-18.97%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

60%
Principal
60%
Actionable
60%
Overall
Principal60.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate60.00%
Actionable60.00%
Derived Quality64.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-07-22T18:00:05
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-11-17T19:00:00
Resolved At
2025-11-17T19:00:00
Resolved Candle
2025-11-17T19:00:00
Max High
4,956.78
Max High At
-
Min Low
3,354.28
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
2,832.98h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Crypto Jebb
YouTube · @CryptoJebb
Reliability
43.95
Success Rate
29.33%
Consistency
88.55
Risk Adjusted
-9
Avg Return
-2.5%
Avg Quality
3.42
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
4q32xtmSziw
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The video provides a technical analysis of ETHUSD, predicting a price target of $7389 in the current cycle. At the time of the analysis, the market showed a bullish trend, which is expected to continue. The analysis is based on long-term fundamentals, emphasizing the increasing adoption of ETH in the DeFi space, the stablecoin legislation, and Fibonacci retracement levels. The speaker highlights that ETH has broken through the 0.618 Fibonacci level, setting the stage for further upside. A potential short-term correction down to $3500 and even $3000 is anticipated due to ETH being overextended, potentially forming an inverse head and shoulders pattern, but is expected to resume an upward trajectory to the target price. The failure bound for this analysis is set at $3000.

Original Caption

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Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal