Prediction Case File
NQ1!stockbullishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Krown2026-01-13T18:00:04weeklytechnical
Live Outcome
-3.48%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
25,900.125
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
28,000
Predicted objective
Invalidation
25,000
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
25,938.25
Original Analyst Trend
Bullish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bullish
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
8.11%
Initial Invalidation Distance
3.48%
Risk / Reward
2.33
Timeframe
Weekly
Live Position
-3.48%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

80%
Principal
60%
Actionable
80%
Overall
Principal80.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate80.00%
Actionable60.00%
Derived Quality76.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2026-01-13T18:00:04
First Checked
2026-05-19T01:38:19
Last Checked
2026-05-19T01:38:19
Resolved
2026-05-19T01:38:19
Resolved At
2026-05-19T01:38:19
Resolved Candle
2026-02-04T16:00:00
Max High
26,349
Max High At
2026-01-28T06:00:00
Min Low
24,928
Min Low At
2026-02-04T16:00:00
Time To Result
3,007.63h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Krown
YouTube · @ECKrown
Reliability
55.01
Success Rate
45.02%
Consistency
90.26
Risk Adjusted
-4.42
Avg Return
-0.27%
Avg Quality
3.49
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
0Ea4lKoeFyo
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The S&P 500 (ES1!) and Nasdaq 100 (NQ1!) futures are in a sustained bullish trend on a weekly chart, with price action consistently above key moving averages and showing strong upward momentum. Despite minor pullbacks, the overall sentiment remains bullish, with targets identified at 7300 for ES1! and 28000 for NQ1!. Failure to hold support levels, specifically the previous week's lows, could invalidate the bullish short-term outlook, potentially leading to a pullback towards 6800 for ES1! and 25000 for NQ1!. Gold (XAUUSD) is exhibiting an extremely strong long-term bullish trend on monthly and weekly charts, with price action accelerating upwards and showing potential for further significant gains. The analysis suggests that extreme readings on oscillators and price action point towards a potential macro high being formed, but the immediate trend is still strongly bullish. Any retracement in Bitcoin (BTCUSD) from its current levels, especially if it breaks below key support zones like the previous week's lows, could signal a shift in momentum and a potential move lower. However, the general sentiment across these markets remains cautiously optimistic for continued bullish continuation.

Original Caption

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Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal