Prediction Case File
SOLUSDTcryptobullishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Crypto Jebb2025-07-31T18:00:52monthlytechnical
Live Outcome
-10.29%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
177.23
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
913
Predicted objective
Invalidation
159
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
177.96
Original Analyst Trend
Bullish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bullish
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
415.15%
Initial Invalidation Distance
10.29%
Risk / Reward
40.36
Timeframe
Monthly
Live Position
-10.29%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

80%
Principal
80%
Actionable
80%
Overall
Principal80.00%
Comprehensible100.00%
Accurate80.00%
Actionable80.00%
Derived Quality84.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-07-31T18:00:52
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-08-02T17:00:00
Resolved At
2025-08-02T17:00:00
Resolved Candle
2025-08-02T17:00:00
Max High
178.2
Max High At
-
Min Low
158.4
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
46.98h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Crypto Jebb
YouTube · @CryptoJebb
Reliability
43.95
Success Rate
29.33%
Consistency
88.55
Risk Adjusted
-9
Avg Return
-2.5%
Avg Quality
3.42
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
wDT8CGzU7OQ
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The presenter analyzes SOL/USD using technical indicators, identifying key Fibonacci retracement levels and drawing trendlines to support a long position. Solana is currently trading at $177.96, having rallied to $206 and pulling back to find support around $172. The .786 Fibonacci level around $206.12 is a key resistance. He notes Solana's current inflation rate stands at 4.38%, and is dropping. Technical analysis points to an initial short-term goal to rally back to ATH. Then, all-time high, followed by a base case target of $660 and a bull case of $913 - $1000 within this bull market. The analysis is invalidated if the price drops below 159.

Original Caption

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Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal