Prediction Case File
HBARUSDCcryptobullishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

CryptoCharged2025-08-06T02:51:29long_termtechnical
Live Outcome
-51.05%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
0.23585
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
1.22021
Predicted objective
Invalidation
0.11545
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
0.24919
Original Analyst Trend
Bullish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bullish
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
417.37%
Initial Invalidation Distance
51.05%
Risk / Reward
8.18
Timeframe
Long Term
Live Position
-51.05%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

60%
Principal
60%
Actionable
60%
Overall
Principal60.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate60.00%
Actionable60.00%
Derived Quality64.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-08-06T02:51:29
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-10-10T21:00:00
Resolved At
2025-10-10T21:00:00
Resolved Candle
2025-10-10T21:00:00
Max High
0.27634
Max High At
-
Min Low
0.07795
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
1,578.13h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

CryptoCharged
YouTube · @CryptoCharged
Reliability
33.38
Success Rate
15.63%
Consistency
59.52
Risk Adjusted
-48.42
Avg Return
-12.95%
Avg Quality
3.26
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
lLD7pT2WR80
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analysis focuses on HBARUSDC using a 5-year timeframe. It identifies a double bottom at around $0.12, with significant buy demand. The analysis also spots a retest of 2024 tops. There's an identified entry point at $0.13. It notes an approximate 800% potential move from current levels up to $1.22, which is derived from measuring the sequence from 2021's peak to 2022's low. The analysis acknowledges that at the current price levels, risk-reward is not at its absolute best and suggests buying at the double bottom for maximum value.

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal