Prediction Case File
TSLAstockbearishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Everything Money2025-08-07T09:54:00long_termfundamental
Live Outcome
-16.02%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
318.92001343
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
106
Predicted objective
Invalidation
370
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
303
Original Analyst Trend
Bullish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bearish
Normalized Market Direction
Bearish
Initial Target Distance
66.76%
Initial Invalidation Distance
16.02%
Risk / Reward
4.17
Timeframe
Long Term
Live Position
-16.02%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

80%
Principal
100%
Actionable
80%
Overall
Principal80.00%
Comprehensible100.00%
Accurate60.00%
Actionable100.00%
Derived Quality84.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-08-07T09:54:00
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-09-12T04:00:00
Resolved At
2025-09-12T04:00:00
Resolved Candle
2025-09-12T04:00:00
Max High
318.92001343
Max High At
-
Min Low
318.92001343
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
858.1h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Everything Money
YouTube · @EverythingMoney
Reliability
44.59
Success Rate
30.13%
Consistency
86.66
Risk Adjusted
-11.37
Avg Return
-1.72%
Avg Quality
3.5
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
AlduaHE4xkw
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analyst believes that TSLA is overvalued, offering a long-term (10Y) analysis. The video mentions several important numbers and analyst estimates. The presenter believes that the analysts may be wrong, showing his projected earnings per share growth moving from 2 dollars up to 9.73 dollars over the next four to five years. Also, this will cause revenues to grow from $100B to $250B. The P/S ratio for TSLA is 11.75. The long run estimated value for the stock is the target 106, low price of 35 dollars and a high price of 272. He presents his price / value conclusion with charts comparing the high / lows and moving averages.

Original Caption

Tesla’s been slammed by investors lately, and while the stock is down nearly 20% this year, I’m diving deep into whether it’s finally trading below intrinsic value. I break down the numbers, separate hype from reality, and show how Tesla’s fundamentals stack up today—amid flattening growth, falling deliveries, and stalled promises like self-driving and robotics. Despite the innovation, over 90% of revenue still comes from car sales, and the valuation remains sky-high compared to traditional automakers. I ran a full 10-year analysis using conservative assumptions, and the results were eye-opening—this might not be the bargain many investors are hoping for. Fundamentals of Principle-Driven Investing https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W-Sx_9QElfw&feature=youtu.be https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nwTWTy_amic&feature=youtu.be ⬇️ Download your FREE Guide on Key Foundational Metrics: https://everythingmoney.activehosted.com/f/131 ‍ Become a Principle Driven Investor https://everythingmoney.com/signup ALL-ACCESS TRIAL For 7 Days to the EM Community + Software! Dress like a Principle Driven Investor https://store.everythingmoney.com Fundamentals of Stock Trading https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3J3hlokReZI https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AMdhFSkkmOs Fundamentals of Real Estate Investing https://youtu.be/68jdzM0cz4M?si=BB7a0c15_sRbND_K _____________________________________________________ ️ By watching videos posted on Everything Money’s YouTube channel and/or using EverythingMoney.com, you acknowledge that you have read, understand, and agree to the following: Everything Money is Not an Investment Advisor: Everything Money (including Paul, Mo, and Any other person including, but not limited to, other staff members, guests, personalities, etc.) is not an investment adviser, and it is not registered as such with the U.S. Securities & Exchange Commission or any other state or federal authority under the Investment Advisers Act of 1940 or any other law. The investments and strategies discussed in Everything Money’s YouTube videos and on Everythingmoney.com are not and should not be considered investment advice and may not be suitable for you. They do not take into account your particular investment objectives, financial situation, needs, or personal circumstances and are not intended to be specific to you. Before acting on any investment or strategy discussed, you should always do your own research and make your own independent decision about whether it is suitable for your particular circumstances. You should also consider seeking advice from your own legal, financial, tax, accounting, or investment advisers. Everything Money does not provide such advice. READ THE FULL DISCLAIMER HERE: https://everythingmoney.com/disclaimer

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal