Prediction Case File
MNQ1!stockbearishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Harry Multani2025-05-19T12:45:22dailytechnical
Live Outcome
1.59%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
21,453.25
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
21,300
Predicted objective
Invalidation
21,112.25
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
21,197
Original Analyst Trend
Bearish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bullish
Normalized Market Direction
Bearish
Initial Target Distance
0.71%
Initial Invalidation Distance
1.59%
Risk / Reward
0.45
Timeframe
Daily
Live Position
1.59%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

60%
Principal
80%
Actionable
80%
Overall
Principal60.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate80.00%
Actionable80.00%
Derived Quality76.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-05-19T12:45:22
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-05-19T04:00:00
Resolved At
2025-05-19T04:00:00
Resolved Candle
2025-05-19T04:00:00
Max High
-
Max High At
-
Min Low
-
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
-8.75h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Harry Multani
YouTube · @harmynder
Reliability
55.16
Success Rate
45.15%
Consistency
92.19
Risk Adjusted
-1.81
Avg Return
0.82%
Avg Quality
3.56
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
FZbiSijdPuI
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The video discusses the current market scenario on May 18th, noting a downturn in all futures, tech stocks, and indices, including Bitcoin, due to Moody's downgrade of the US rating from AAA to AA1. The analysis focuses on identifying buying opportunities after this dip. Key levels for Nasdaq are around 21131, recommending buying in this zone for a day trading pump. S&P 500 is higher, with buy consideration below 5890, while Dow Jones is green, closing near a neutral zone. Russell 2000 is also near the buy zone, and Bitcoin finds itself within a buy zone near 102600. Ethereum shows similar patterns, suggesting buys below 2381. The VIX has a concerning trend on the daily chart, indicating a potential massive pump, aiming for 21.35, 34 and 37.35. In live market analysis, MES has a seven-count sell signal and the speaker draws boxes with a daily chart in live markets and recommends levels to buy for day trading. The presenter also analyses Nvidia, as the stock to watch.

Original Caption

Click Youtube channel link below to Subscribe: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCruE6nggpVnCYclIPxATeVA/join If you like video please donate : https://paypal.me/linktoharry?country.x=CA&locale.x=en_US Free Chat Discord Server Link: https://discord.gg/8CxCNXWqjn Join Twitter / X ID : harmynder I use Crypto.com app to buy crypto : Use my referral link https://crypto.com/app/yk7nspbdad to sign up for Crypto.com and we both get $25 USD. TradingView Referral Link : https://www.tradingview.com/gopro/?share_your_love=harmynder These video's are for education only, Invest at your own risk, not a financial advise #Stockmarket #DayTrading #StockMarketAnalysis #OptionsTrading #TradeIdeas #TechnicalAnalysis #Stockmarketcrash #US500 #MES #MNQ #SPX #EMINI #SPY #US100 #NDX #QQQ #US30 #DJI #US2000 #IWM #Russell2000 #VIX #Bitcoin #Ethereum #BTC #BTCUSD #ETH #ETHUSD #Crypto #Cryptocurrency #Gold #GC #SILVER #Dollar #DXY #Crudeoil #Oil #CL #NaturalGas #NG #UNG #BOIL #KOLD #Tesla #TSLA #Apple #APPL #MSFT #AMD #NVDA #META #NFLX #CRWD #NOW #AVGO #XLC #XLE #XLU #XLV #XLK #XLI #XLF #CRYPTO #PALLADIUM #GDX #GDXU #GDXJ #SUGAR #CANE #CORN #WHEAT #WEAT #SOYABEAN #SOYB #COMMODITY #TQQQ #SQQQ #FNGU #FNGD #BULZ #SOXL #SOXS #QQU #QQD #viral #viralvideo #viralshorts

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
No
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Ready
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
Not Listed
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal