Prediction Case File
ETHUSDTcryptobullishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Jacob Crypto Bury2025-11-13T20:38:04dailytechnical
Live Outcome
-6.2%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
3,198.42
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
8,888
Predicted objective
Invalidation
3,000
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
3,509.25
Original Analyst Trend
Bearish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bullish
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
177.89%
Initial Invalidation Distance
6.2%
Risk / Reward
28.67
Timeframe
Daily
Live Position
-6.2%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

60%
Principal
40%
Actionable
60%
Overall
Principal60.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate60.00%
Actionable40.00%
Derived Quality60.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-11-13T20:38:04
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-11-17T19:00:00
Resolved At
2025-11-17T19:00:00
Resolved Candle
2025-11-17T19:00:00
Max High
-
Max High At
-
Min Low
-
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
94.35h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Jacob Crypto Bury
YouTube · @JacobCryptoBury
Reliability
44.33
Success Rate
30.1%
Consistency
80.23
Risk Adjusted
-26.25
Avg Return
-6.72%
Avg Quality
3.26
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
EbxB28fIUnQ
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The speaker discusses ABDAO (AB), highlighting its recent price surge of over 33% in 24 hours. They analyze the token's historical price action, noting a significant run-up in late 2023, followed by consolidation and a recent pullback. The current price is around 0.00777, with support identified at 0.005815. A descending trendline resistance is also noted. The speaker believes a drop to 0.005815 might occur before a potential upward move. They also mention ETHUSDT's performance, showcasing a +164.24% gain on a short position, with an entry price of 3567.85 and a close price of 3509.25. Additionally, BTCUSDT saw a +95% gain on a short position and a +37.33% gain on another short position, with entry prices around 105,000 and 105,298 respectively.

Original Caption

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Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal