Prediction Case File
BTCUSDTcryptobearishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

MMCrypto2025-11-17T23:21:12dailytechnical
Live Outcome
-0.01%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
91,989.91
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
82,000
Predicted objective
Invalidation
92,000
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
91,000
Original Analyst Trend
Bearish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bearish
Normalized Market Direction
Bearish
Initial Target Distance
10.86%
Initial Invalidation Distance
0.01%
Risk / Reward
990.08
Timeframe
Daily
Live Position
-0.01%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

80%
Principal
60%
Actionable
80%
Overall
Principal80.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate100.00%
Actionable60.00%
Derived Quality80.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-11-17T23:21:12
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-11-18T00:00:00
Resolved At
2025-11-18T00:00:00
Resolved Candle
2025-11-18T00:00:00
Max High
-
Max High At
-
Min Low
-
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
0.63h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

MMCrypto
YouTube · @MMCryptoTube
Reliability
43.45
Success Rate
28.7%
Consistency
85.72
Risk Adjusted
-15.05
Avg Return
-4.39%
Avg Quality
3.36
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
1xtXCzkGTlk
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analysis focuses on Bitcoin's price action, specifically a breakdown from a descending triangle pattern on the daily chart. The speaker references a previous prediction made about a week ago, indicating that Bitcoin has followed the predicted bearish trend. The target for this bearish move is identified at 82,000 USD, with the invalidation point set above the current resistance. The speaker also highlights their personal trading success, having taken profits and still holding a portion of their position, demonstrating a consistent bearish outlook for Bitcoin.

Original Caption

Bitcoin what now? The #1 MOST DANGEROUS Meat in the World! https://youtu.be/M16rJt3pydY [click]

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal