Prediction Case File
AVAXUSDTcryptobullishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Altcoin Doctor2025-12-02T16:44:53monthlytechnical
Live Outcome
-18.87%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
13.57
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
35.91
Predicted objective
Invalidation
11.01
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
13.01
Original Analyst Trend
Bearish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bullish
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
164.63%
Initial Invalidation Distance
18.87%
Risk / Reward
8.73
Timeframe
Monthly
Live Position
-18.87%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

60%
Principal
20%
Actionable
40%
Overall
Principal60.00%
Comprehensible60.00%
Accurate40.00%
Actionable20.00%
Derived Quality44.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-12-02T16:44:53
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2026-01-29T00:00:00
Resolved At
2026-01-29T00:00:00
Resolved Candle
2026-01-29T00:00:00
Max High
-
Max High At
-
Min Low
-
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
1,375.25h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Altcoin Doctor
YouTube · @AltcoinDoctor
Reliability
31.39
Success Rate
11.31%
Consistency
80.58
Risk Adjusted
-32.69
Avg Return
-15.41%
Avg Quality
3.47
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
bjS7iIRQXTg
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The market has seen a significant downtrend in AVAX, with a current price of $13.01. The analyst predicts a bullish move towards $35.91, with the trade invalidated below $11.01. This prediction is based on historical patterns of altcoin seasons and market cycles. The analyst also touched upon the Bitcoin dominance chart, suggesting that a drop in dominance would likely lead to increased altcoin prices.

Original Caption

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Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal