Prediction Case File
BTCUSDTcryptobullishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Jacob Crypto Bury2025-11-26T23:41:25dailytechnical
Live Outcome
-8.79%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
90,453.18
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
104,000
Predicted objective
Invalidation
82,500
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
90,209.51
Original Analyst Trend
Bearish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bullish
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
14.98%
Initial Invalidation Distance
8.79%
Risk / Reward
1.7
Timeframe
Daily
Live Position
-8.79%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

80%
Principal
60%
Actionable
80%
Overall
Principal80.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate80.00%
Actionable60.00%
Derived Quality76.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-11-26T23:41:25
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2026-01-30T00:00:00
Resolved At
2026-01-30T00:00:00
Resolved Candle
2026-01-30T00:00:00
Max High
-
Max High At
-
Min Low
-
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
1,536.3h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Jacob Crypto Bury
YouTube · @JacobCryptoBury
Reliability
44.33
Success Rate
30.1%
Consistency
80.23
Risk Adjusted
-26.25
Avg Return
-6.72%
Avg Quality
3.26
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
OzUvTU1eLXw
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The video shows a bullish falling wedge pattern on DASH, with potential targets at $75.52 and $111.14. Bitcoin is currently below its 50-week moving average, showing a bearish trend, but is expected to bounce from $82,500 to $90,000. Other cryptocurrencies like CAKE are also showing strong bullish momentum with significant gains. The speaker mentions upcoming listings and partnerships for Dash, which could further boost its price. The overall sentiment is cautiously optimistic for these assets, with clear support and resistance levels identified for potential trades.

Original Caption

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Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal