Prediction Case File
VIXstockbearishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Click Capital2025-08-09T03:22:53dailytechnical
Live Outcome
-5.4%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
15.18000031
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
13
Predicted objective
Invalidation
16
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
15.15
Original Analyst Trend
Bearish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bearish
Normalized Market Direction
Bearish
Initial Target Distance
14.36%
Initial Invalidation Distance
5.4%
Risk / Reward
2.66
Timeframe
Daily
Live Position
-5.4%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

60%
Principal
60%
Actionable
60%
Overall
Principal60.00%
Comprehensible60.00%
Accurate60.00%
Actionable60.00%
Derived Quality60.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-08-09T03:22:53
First Checked
2026-05-19T01:03:30
Last Checked
2026-05-19T01:03:30
Resolved
2026-05-19T01:03:30
Resolved At
2026-05-19T01:03:30
Resolved Candle
2025-08-11T07:00:00
Max High
16.01000023
Max High At
2025-08-11T07:00:00
Min Low
15.80000019
Min Low At
2025-08-11T07:00:00
Time To Result
6,789.67h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Click Capital
YouTube · @Click-Capital
Reliability
53.88
Success Rate
43.34%
Consistency
90.1
Risk Adjusted
-3.26
Avg Return
0.88%
Avg Quality
3.54
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
trg4fpAdcmI
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

Mega-cap tech is leading the charge, with Apple breaking out of its multi-month consolidation after news that they will invest up to $600 billion in American manufacturing over the next couple of years. Most sectors are in the green, excluding yield-sensitive sectors. The market has been in the greed zone and there are companies missing on earnings. They're getting punished a lot more than usual with an average move of -5.5%, more than double the 5-year average. Even though companies are mentioning the word recession a lot less compared to last quarter. Looking at S&P 500 at 6400, going for new ATHS at 6427, QQQ closed an all-time high, could go into melt-up mode. VIX sitting at a support level around low 15, volatility could be about to go into a newer low vix regime. Gold breaking new ATH but reversing late session. Weakness in USD. Best performing assets this week: Ethereum test $4,000, looks like breaking out key resistance zone, break above $4,115 for multi-year highs. Ethereum’s relative value to the entire crypto market is significantly increased over the last six weeks. Here's how that may be about the biggest currently being Sharplink Gaming expect big bear, Oklo, mobile, and core weave .

Original Caption

Upgrade Your Charts With Our 30 Custom TradingView Indicators https://www.clickcapital.io/tradingview-indicators Follow Our Daily Options Trades In Real-time Inside Our Private Chat Room https://www.clickcapital.io/mmk Get Our Weekly Stock Picks with Deep-Dive Research and Real Trades https://www.clickcapital.io/stock-picks Best Deal: Stock Picks + All Our Trading Tools – One Price https://www.clickcapital.io/deal Copy Our “Themes” Watchlist of Hot Stocks: https://www.tradingview.com/watchlists/177376552/ ️ Online Trading Tools that I personally use and recommend: The Best Options Data, Analytics & Screener: https://www.clickcapital.io/options ️ Top-tier Charting & Technical Analysis: https://www.clickcapital.io/charts Automate your TradingView Alerts to 30+ Brokers: https://www.clickcapital.io/automation My go-to Portfolio Tracking & Management Tool: https://www.clickcapital.io/portfolio Hi, I’m Jared Mann. I’ve been trading and investing for over 20 years. I previously worked at a major investment bank in the treasury department and left in 2008 to trade full-time and build my own businesses. Now, I run Click Capital, where I bring you this Daily Market Review to help keep over 20,000 investors and traders informed on everything happening across stocks, bonds, commodities, currencies, and options. I’m a long-term optimist and love spotting big opportunities — whether through quality growth stocks, technical breakouts, or option strategies. I don’t buy into the fear. I follow data, trends, and smart money. If I speak too quickly, adjust the playback speed to 0.8–0.95 in the YouTube video settings (some viewers prefer speeding up instead!). Stay connected: Subscribe for more real market insights, bold predictions, and no-BS commentary every week. #marketanalysis #stockmarket #volatility #options #technicalanalysis #stocks #SP500 #investing #economicupdate #marketnews #bullmarket #fed #inflation #rates #chartanalysis #gold #crypto #tesla #QQQ #NVDA #SPY #VIX $SPY $QQQ $VIX $TLT $GLD $USO $AAPL $TSLA $NVDA $AMZN $MSFT $GOOGL $META $BABA $FXI $BTC Disclaimer: All content in this video and on the Click Capital channel is for educational purposes only and represents my personal opinions only. It is not financial advice. I am not a licensed financial advisor. Investing and trading involves significant risk, and you should always do your own research before making decisions. We make use of affiliate links when recommending other products and may receive a commission for your referral. Please use all of our content, tools, and services at your own risk.

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal