Prediction Case File
TSLAstockbullishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Wicked Stocks2026-01-30T03:51:29dailytechnical
Live Outcome
-2.23%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
416.44000244
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
533.24
Predicted objective
Invalidation
407.16
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
406.83
Original Analyst Trend
Bullish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bullish
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
28.05%
Initial Invalidation Distance
2.23%
Risk / Reward
12.59
Timeframe
Daily
Live Position
-2.23%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

60%
Principal
60%
Actionable
60%
Overall
Principal60.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate80.00%
Actionable60.00%
Derived Quality68.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2026-01-30T03:51:29
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2026-02-04T15:30:00
Resolved At
2026-02-04T15:30:00
Resolved Candle
2026-02-04T15:30:00
Max High
-
Max High At
-
Min Low
-
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
131.63h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Wicked Stocks
YouTube · @wickedstocks8906
Reliability
46.83
Success Rate
32.86%
Consistency
89.79
Risk Adjusted
-4.4
Avg Return
-0.86%
Avg Quality
3.84
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
yUskXQyx1Dw
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analysis focuses on Tesla (TSLA), identifying a support zone between 406.83 and 407.16, which is expected to absorb selling pressure throughout February and into the second quarter. The projected target for TSLA is 533.24 over the next three to five months, indicating a bullish outlook. The analysis is based on a three to four-month line study, suggesting a medium-term bullish trend continuation. A potential entry point is implied around the 406.83 level, with a clear invalidation at 407.16.

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal