Prediction Case File
DOGEUSDTcryptobearishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Qriptal2025-04-27T18:35:10intradaytechnical
Live Outcome
51.54%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
0.18056
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
0.0934
Predicted objective
Invalidation
0.0875
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
0.0903
Original Analyst Trend
Bullish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bullish
Normalized Market Direction
Bearish
Initial Target Distance
48.27%
Initial Invalidation Distance
51.54%
Risk / Reward
0.94
Timeframe
Intraday
Live Position
51.54%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

60%
Principal
80%
Actionable
60%
Overall
Principal60.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate80.00%
Actionable80.00%
Derived Quality72.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-04-27T18:35:10
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-04-27T19:00:00
Resolved At
2025-04-27T19:00:00
Resolved Candle
2025-04-27T19:00:00
Max High
0.18229
Max High At
-
Min Low
0.18056
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
0.4h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Qriptal
YouTube · @qriptal
Reliability
52.42
Success Rate
40.95%
Consistency
90.11
Risk Adjusted
-6.31
Avg Return
1.17%
Avg Quality
3.75
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
9KOj0jcYorU
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analysis discusses Bitcoin and Altcoin setups for the week. The analyst sees three daily imbalances for BTC at the high and levels for potential short positions, with the failure level for shorts at $103,000. For CRV, the last daily imbalance has been met, and it now faces resistance, but a break above $0.6484 could signal a massive upwards squeeze. The analysts also gives two levels for potential longs, which includes 0.5 with a failure bound at 0.33. Finally, there is a discussion of DOGE with target at .093 and to evaluate based on the price reactions.

Original Caption

Last sunday we caught a nice long at 84k on BTC, and have mainly been waiting for 95k since. With this level now hit and offering a rejection, is it a good time to look for shorts? However, we have pretty interesting setups not only on BTC but altcoins as well!

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal