Prediction Case File
BTCUSDTcryptobullishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

MMCrypto2026-02-11T18:30:37weeklytechnical
Live Outcome
-4.28%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
66,860.96
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
100,000
Predicted objective
Invalidation
64,000
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
67,122.7
Original Analyst Trend
Bearish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bullish
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
49.56%
Initial Invalidation Distance
4.28%
Risk / Reward
11.58
Timeframe
Weekly
Live Position
-4.28%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

80%
Principal
40%
Actionable
60%
Overall
Principal80.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate80.00%
Actionable40.00%
Derived Quality68.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2026-02-11T18:30:37
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2026-02-23T20:00:00
Resolved At
2026-02-23T20:00:00
Resolved Candle
2026-02-23T20:00:00
Max High
-
Max High At
-
Min Low
-
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
289.48h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

MMCrypto
YouTube · @MMCryptoTube
Reliability
43.45
Success Rate
28.7%
Consistency
85.72
Risk Adjusted
-15.05
Avg Return
-4.39%
Avg Quality
3.36
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
qrB8HJYqUzQ
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analysis focuses on Bitcoin's weekly chart, highlighting the RSI indicator's position within a long-term downtrend channel. While the current price is near a strong support level (around $64,000-$69,000), the RSI is approaching oversold territory, suggesting a potential bounce. However, the speaker emphasizes that if this support breaks, it could trigger a further significant downward movement. The current trade setup is a long position with a target of $100,000, invalidated if the price falls below the $64,000 support. The speaker also mentions scaling into this trade.

Original Caption

Best & Worst Protein for Your Testosterone! https://youtu.be/7mMmeNpscX8 [click] Follow my $100 Million Trade for FREE & Live: https://levex.com/r/MMCrypto

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal