Prediction Case File
NQ1!stockbearishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Krown2026-02-17T22:25:44weeklytechnical
Live Outcome
-0.94%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
24,767.625
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
23,500
Predicted objective
Invalidation
25,000
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
24,725
Original Analyst Trend
Bearish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bearish
Normalized Market Direction
Bearish
Initial Target Distance
5.12%
Initial Invalidation Distance
0.94%
Risk / Reward
5.46
Timeframe
Weekly
Live Position
-0.94%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

60%
Principal
40%
Actionable
60%
Overall
Principal60.00%
Comprehensible60.00%
Accurate80.00%
Actionable40.00%
Derived Quality60.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2026-02-17T22:25:44
First Checked
2026-05-19T01:38:33
Last Checked
2026-05-19T01:38:33
Resolved
2026-05-19T01:38:33
Resolved At
2026-05-19T01:38:33
Resolved Candle
2026-02-18T15:00:00
Max High
25,099.75
Max High At
2026-02-18T15:00:00
Min Low
24,700.75
Min Low At
2026-02-17T23:00:00
Time To Result
2,163.2h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Krown
YouTube · @ECKrown
Reliability
55.01
Success Rate
45.02%
Consistency
90.26
Risk Adjusted
-4.42
Avg Return
-0.27%
Avg Quality
3.5
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
DiT_PPgkTm0
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

Bitcoin, Gold, S&P 500, and Nasdaq 100 all show bearish signals on the weekly timeframe. Bitcoin has broken below key support levels and is expected to retest lower lows. Gold is showing weakness after a parabolic run, with potential for further downside. Major indices like the S&P 500 and Nasdaq are showing signs of topping, with potential for significant corrections if they break key support levels.

Original Caption

Bitcoin appears ready to retest recent lows as gold and silver complete their topping reversal, while the S&P 500 remains in limbo. In today’s update, I break down the key intermarket signals and what would confirm further downside — or invalidate the move. Learn To Trade & Indicatorshttps://krown-trading.teachable.com/p/main 🟦Gemini Credit Card: $50 Bonus in crypto! https://creditcard.exchange.gemini.com/credit-card/apply?referral_code=95mdvudxk ⬛Phemex (20% Cashback)https://phemex.com/promo/activity/750?referralCode=CETF9 ️ META SIGNALShttps://metasignals.io/nft Use code KROWN for 10% off FOREVER. 🟧ByBit (Inverse Perps & High Liquidity)https://partner.bybit.com/b/Cave ️Cave Discord Trading Community - https://discord.gg/3PJDRbYw44 #Bitcoin #Stocks #Investing Disclaimer: This content is for educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Always do your own research. 0:00 - Bitcoin poised to retest lows 1:14 - New moon signals indicate downside risk 2:06 - Momentum pivot suggests further downside 3:41 - Potential major low for Bitcoin discussed 5:52 - Considering a short put spread strategy 6:28 - Bitcoin bearish below $70,200 midband 8:15 - Bitcoin expected to oscillate around $59,800 9:19 - Best case for Bitcoin is sideways movement 10:32 - Expecting another move down for Bitcoin 11:03 - Bearish outlook on gold below 5120 12:01 - Silver shows weakness compared to gold 14:29 - Bitcoin likely to retest recent lows

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal