Prediction Case File
BTCUSDTcryptobullishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Felix & Friends (Goat Academy)2026-02-21T19:10:06intradaytechnical
Live Outcome
-2.37%
Performance since published
Fail
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Publish Price
πŸ”’Locked
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
πŸ”’Locked
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
πŸ”’Locked
Predicted objective
Invalidation
πŸ”’Locked
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
πŸ”’Locked
Original Analyst Trend
Bullish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bullish
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
πŸ”’Locked
Initial Invalidation Distance
πŸ”’Locked
Risk / Reward
πŸ”’Locked
Timeframe
Intraday
Live Position
-2.37%
Live
Current Price
πŸ”’Locked
Live Score
πŸ”’Locked
Distance to Target Now
πŸ”’Locked
Distance to Invalidation Now
πŸ”’Locked
Price Structure Valid
πŸ”’Locked
Warning
πŸ”’Locked
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

πŸ”’ Premium

Quality intelligence locked

Detailed AI quality scores are part of the premium prediction case file.

Principal
πŸ”’Locked
Comprehensible
πŸ”’Locked
Accurate
πŸ”’Locked
Actionable
πŸ”’Locked
Overall
πŸ”’Locked
Derived Quality
πŸ”’Locked
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2026-02-21T19:10:06
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2026-02-23T00:00:00
Resolved At
2026-02-23T00:00:00
Resolved Candle
πŸ”’Locked
Max High
πŸ”’Locked
Max High At
πŸ”’Locked
Min Low
πŸ”’Locked
Min Low At
πŸ”’Locked
Time To Result
πŸ”’Locked
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Felix & Friends (Goat Academy)
YouTube Β· @FelixFriends
Reliability
67.23
Success Rate
62.29%
Consistency
85.06
Risk Adjusted
-2.09
Avg Return
3.95%
Avg Quality
3.63
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
grRmEeWkIyE
Open Original Post β†’
AI Summary
πŸ”’This intelligence block requires access.
Original Caption

Learn Wall Street's Investing Rules Now. Watch the 17 min Masterclass: https://felixfriends.org/getfree Get Custom News Alerts for Your Stock Portfolio. 7 Day Free Trial at https://felixfriends.org/tradevision Join Felix as he explores the realities of the trading industry, sharing his personal experience with a million-dollar experiment. This video offers insights into his unique approach to financial markets, contrasting it with common practices and highlighting his trading strategy. It’s a candid look at investing and what it means to be a trader. Meet Felix Prehn: I'm your host, Felix Prehn. My journey took me from being a novice investor to an investment banker, a corporate lawyer, and an entrepreneur. Investing was my key to early retirement at 40. My goal? To empower YOU to navigate the financial market with ease and transparency, free from the conventional financial system's noise. Let's embark on this journey to financial freedom together! ️This is from my lovely lawyers: The content in this video is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute and should not be construed as financial or investment advice or an offer to purchase or sell securities. The content is not personalized or tailored to a specific person or group of persons, nor to their personal investment or financial needs. You should consult a financial adviser or other investment professional authorized to provide investment advice. Investing comes with risks, including the risk of loss. Presentations of trades made by Felix Prehn or Goat Academy Ltd or its personnel are not a guarantee that any investment decision made by a student will be successful. Past performance is not a guarantee of future performance. Timestamps: 00:00 Intro 00:47 The 5-Step Tariff Protection Framework 01:22 Felix Prehn & Winston: Professional Research vs. Media Noise 02:15 The 6-3 Ruling: Why IEEPA is Not a Tariff Statue 03:51 Major Questions Doctrine: Why Congress Must Authorize Taxes 04:28 The $175B Refund Mess: Why Retailers (Costco) are Lining Up 05:57 The Pivot: Trump’s New 10% Global Tariff (Section 122) 07:16 The 150-Day Clock: Temporary Duty or Permanent Policy? 08:47 Framework Step 1: Reality Check (16.9% to 9.1% Tariff Rate) 11:48 Framework Step 2: Sector Exposure (Metals, Tech, and Autos) 12:46 Winners vs. Losers: Importers vs. Domestic Reshorers 14:35 Framework Step 3: Second-Order Effects (Inflation & The Fed) 15:43 Framework Step 4: Tracking the Smart Money (13F & ETF Flows) 16:36 Framework Step 5: Setting Your Portfolio Tripwires 18:10 Litigation Chaos and the November Midterm Factor 19:15 Risk Management: Why Pros (Lehman/Bear Stearns) Surviving Patterns 20:24 Outro #felixprehn #stockmarket

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal