Prediction Case File
APLDstockbullishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

IC Trades2026-02-22T00:40:31intradaytechnical
Live Outcome
-4.6%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
29.04500008
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
32.77
Predicted objective
Invalidation
27.71
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
29.45
Original Analyst Trend
Bearish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bearish
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
12.82%
Initial Invalidation Distance
4.6%
Risk / Reward
2.79
Timeframe
Intraday
Live Position
-4.6%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

60%
Principal
60%
Actionable
60%
Overall
Principal60.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate80.00%
Actionable60.00%
Derived Quality68.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2026-02-22T00:40:31
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2026-02-27T05:00:00
Resolved At
2026-02-27T05:00:00
Resolved Candle
2026-02-27T05:00:00
Max High
-
Max High At
-
Min Low
-
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
124.32h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

IC Trades
YouTube · @ICMakesTrades
Reliability
51.35
Success Rate
39.62%
Consistency
88.45
Risk Adjusted
-8.5
Avg Return
-0.87%
Avg Quality
3.62
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
_75AILaDjhg
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analysis focuses on Applied Digital (APLD), highlighting its recent sharp decline following NVIDIA's divestment. The stock has broken below key support levels, indicating a bearish trend. While there's potential for a short-term bounce to retest resistance around $32.77 to $39.35, the overall sentiment is bearish due to the negative catalyst and lack of strong buyer conviction.

Original Caption

APLD has had some major news surge in and the technicals followed with a sharp sell off. Will we recover or is the future of APLD stock under pressure? In this video, we break down APLD (Applied Digital) stock using technical analysis. We also cover broader market conditions and how overall market trends could impact APLD in the coming days and weeks. Want to confidently read charts and take trades without guessing? I built “The Traders Framework: Chart Reading, Structure & Decision-Making” to teach you exactly how to analyze charts, spot high-probability setups, master your mindset, and execute trades with confidence. You’ll also learn the correct trading mentality and how to stay disciplined, control emotions, manage risk properly, and think like a professional trader. Get Access here: https://ianctrades.com Course Disclaimer: The Traders Framework is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. Trading involves risk, and you are responsible for your own trading decisions. If you’re watching APLD stock, this analysis helps you understand where price is likely headed before the move happens. Subscribe for weekly technical analysis and stock market breakdowns Comment your $APLD price predictions below and let me know which stocks you want covered next! #apld #applieddigital #technicalanalysis Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. I am not a financial advisor.

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal