Prediction Case File
KASUSDTcryptobullishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Altcoin Doctor2025-08-12T16:03:39weeklytechnical
Live Outcome
-44.35%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
0.08985
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
0.2
Predicted objective
Invalidation
0.05
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
0.088
Original Analyst Trend
Range
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bullish
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
122.59%
Initial Invalidation Distance
44.35%
Risk / Reward
2.76
Timeframe
Weekly
Live Position
-44.35%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

60%
Principal
60%
Actionable
60%
Overall
Principal60.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate60.00%
Actionable60.00%
Derived Quality64.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-08-12T16:03:39
First Checked
2026-05-19T01:03:30
Last Checked
2026-05-19T01:03:30
Resolved
2026-05-19T01:03:30
Resolved At
2026-05-19T01:03:30
Resolved Candle
2025-10-10T21:00:00
Max High
0.10104296
Max High At
2025-08-14T04:00:00
Min Low
0.02146512
Min Low At
2025-10-10T21:00:00
Time To Result
6,704.98h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Altcoin Doctor
YouTube · @AltcoinDoctor
Reliability
31.39
Success Rate
11.31%
Consistency
80.58
Risk Adjusted
-32.69
Avg Return
-15.41%
Avg Quality
3.47
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
0jqlW6dOVs0
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analysis predicts a consolidation phase for Kaspa until mid-September 2025, anticipating a rate cut, leading to a breakout to a price target of $0.2. A downtrend until April 2025 is identified. A key technical level to watch for KAS is the $0.05 level, as breaching this would invalidate the analysis. The market cap dominance of Bitcoin is expected to fall to 35.25. The USDT dominance has a target of 3.7%. A resistance level of 3.6 Trillion is the total crypto market cap level to breakout. An altcoin market cap reaches the 2.44 Trillion target.

Original Caption

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Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal