Prediction Case File
US500stockbearishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Harry Multani2026-03-13T07:43:50intradaytechnical
Live Outcome
-1.85%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
6,671.81005859
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
6,115.9
Predicted objective
Invalidation
6,795.4
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
6,693.3
Original Analyst Trend
Bearish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bearish
Normalized Market Direction
Bearish
Initial Target Distance
8.33%
Initial Invalidation Distance
1.85%
Risk / Reward
4.5
Timeframe
Intraday
Live Position
-1.85%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

60%
Principal
60%
Actionable
60%
Overall
Principal60.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate80.00%
Actionable60.00%
Derived Quality68.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2026-03-13T07:43:50
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2026-04-09T04:00:00
Resolved At
2026-04-09T04:00:00
Resolved Candle
2026-04-09T04:00:00
Max High
-
Max High At
-
Min Low
-
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
644.27h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Harry Multani
YouTube · @harmynder
Reliability
55.16
Success Rate
45.15%
Consistency
92.19
Risk Adjusted
-1.81
Avg Return
0.82%
Avg Quality
3.56
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
6hQD073C0-Y
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The S&P 500 is currently in a neutral zone, with a bearish prediction. The price is currently trading at 6693.3. The target price is set at 6115.9, and the fail bound price, indicating invalidation of the bearish outlook, is at 6795.4. The analysis suggests a downward trend is expected, with potential support found in the 'Buy Zone'.

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal