Prediction Case File
TRUMPUSDTcryptobullishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Discover Crypto2026-03-13T23:02:18intradayfomo
Live Outcome
-8.97%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
3.845
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
4.5
Predicted objective
Invalidation
3.5
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
3.788
Original Analyst Trend
Bullish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bullish
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
17.04%
Initial Invalidation Distance
8.97%
Risk / Reward
1.9
Timeframe
Intraday
Live Position
-8.97%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

20%
Principal
80%
Actionable
40%
Overall
Principal20.00%
Comprehensible60.00%
Accurate60.00%
Actionable80.00%
Derived Quality52.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2026-03-13T23:02:18
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2026-03-18T00:00:00
Resolved At
2026-03-18T00:00:00
Resolved Candle
2026-03-18T00:00:00
Max High
-
Max High At
-
Min Low
-
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
96.95h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Discover Crypto
YouTube · @DiscoverCrypto_
Reliability
43
Success Rate
28.24%
Consistency
76.64
Risk Adjusted
-15.03
Avg Return
-4.66%
Avg Quality
3.23
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
vcnaMARVRlU
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The TRUMPUSDT token experienced a significant price surge, nearly doubling before pulling back. This rally appears to be driven by news of a conference and gala luncheon featuring President Trump, which is limited to 297 attendees who are holders of the token. The current price has seen a 40% increase.

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal