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I just launched a free 3-day SMC strategy course that walks through exactly how I trade structure, liquidity, and entries as a full-time trader. You can access it here: https://access.dailypriceaction.com/smc-strategy The US dollar ripped higher last week, breaking structure and shifting momentum across several major markets. In this weekly SMC outlook, Iβm walking through what that move means for the week ahead and the key levels Iβm watching across DXY, EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDCAD, and gold. There were some major technical developments, including a new break of structure on the US dollar and the first bearish change of character on EURUSD since 2024. Those shifts could have a big impact on how these markets trade for the rest of March. Below is a breakdown of the key Smart Money Concepts (SMC) levels and scenarios Iβm watching next week. DXY (US Dollar Index) The US dollar exploded higher last week and printed a new break of structure above recent highs. That move reinforces the bullish momentum weβve been discussing for months. However, the DXY is now approaching a major monthly level near 100.80. This level hasnβt been tested since 2025 and sits near the top of the long-term channel that has been guiding price since 2011. Because of that, Iβm not interested in shorting the dollar here. If we do get a pullback, Iβll be watching for buys from imbalances and waiting for a lower timeframe change of character to confirm support. EURUSD EURUSD printed a very important development last week. For the first time since late 2024, the pair gave us a bearish change of character on the daily timeframe. That break signals the potential end of the higher-high, higher-low structure that has been in place since early 2025. It also aligns with the broader weekly downtrend that has been intact since the 2021 highs. Going into next week, Iβm watching for retracements into fair value gaps or imbalances where sellers could step back in. If price moves into premium and we get a lower timeframe shift, that could offer short opportunities with the trend. GBPUSD Last week I took a short on GBPUSD that played out for a 3.2R trade. The setup was straightforward price action. The market pulled into an imbalance within a clear lower-high structure, then printed an internal break and change of character on the lower timeframe. Looking ahead, GBPUSD is approaching support within its channel structure. If price taps into that region, Iβm not looking to buy against the trend. Instead, Iβll be watching for a bounce into imbalances where the market could offer another short opportunity. USDCAD USDCAD delivered another strong setup last week with a long that returned about 5R. That trade came from an imbalance aligning with OTE after a lower timeframe shift. Right now the pair has been trading mostly sideways within a channel. With the dollar strength weβve seen recently, Iβm expecting shallow pullbacks rather than deep retracements. If price pulls into nearby imbalances and we see a change of character on lower timeframes, that could set up another long toward the channel highs. Gold Gold has been one of the more frustrating markets lately. Price has been stuck in a sideways range for weeks. However, we did recently see an internal change of character within the range. If gold breaks below the recent lows, that could trigger a bearish break of structure. In that case, Iβd look for a retracement into imbalances before considering shorts with the trend. On the other hand, if price takes out the highs first, that would shift the outlook. For now, gold remains range-bound and confirmation will be key. If you want to learn the exact SMC strategy I use to trade these setups, check out the free training linked below. And if you want to see my trades and analysis in real time, you can join us inside the Discord community. #smc #forex #smartmoneyconcepts #priceaction #dxy #eurusd #trading CHAPTERS 0:00 Today's SMC Outlook 0:20 DXY Outlook 3:44 EURUSD Outlook 8:06 GBPUSD Outlook 11:49 USDCAD Outlook 14:24 XAUUSD Outlook SMC LESSONS BoS and CHoCH made simple https://youtu.be/FE1bgD9N6DM Steal my liquidity sweep entry model (beginner-friendly) https://youtu.be/XH4TAoLCFBk Premium, discount, and OTE explained https://youtu.be/UWrvexqN3w8 Disclaimer: This video is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Trading forex, crypto, and other markets involves risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Always do your own research and never risk money you canβt afford to lose. I am not responsible for any losses you may incur from acting on the information in this video.
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