Prediction Case File
TSLAstockbearishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Wicked Stocks2026-03-20T16:56:49dailytechnical
Live Outcome
-6.02%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
367.97000122
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
331.25
Predicted objective
Invalidation
390.12
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
371.05
Original Analyst Trend
Bearish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bearish
Normalized Market Direction
Bearish
Initial Target Distance
9.98%
Initial Invalidation Distance
6.02%
Risk / Reward
1.66
Timeframe
Daily
Live Position
-6.02%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

60%
Principal
80%
Actionable
60%
Overall
Principal60.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate60.00%
Actionable80.00%
Derived Quality68.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2026-03-20T16:56:49
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2026-03-25T13:30:00
Resolved At
2026-03-25T13:30:00
Resolved Candle
2026-03-25T13:30:00
Max High
-
Max High At
-
Min Low
-
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
116.55h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Wicked Stocks
YouTube · @wickedstocks8906
Reliability
46.9
Success Rate
32.95%
Consistency
89.79
Risk Adjusted
-4.34
Avg Return
-0.83%
Avg Quality
3.84
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
b9q6DeY1Y2k
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

TSLA is showing weakness, with a sell signal confirmed by closing below the 390.12 Fibonacci level. The short-term target is 371.05, with potential further downside to 331.25 in the next two months. A close back above 390.12 would neutralize the sell signal for the short term, but upside is capped around 407.82 in the next few days and 423.54-428.64 in the next 1-2 weeks. Other stocks mentioned like GEV, AMD, and HOOD are presented as high-probability buy opportunities, though specific targets and fail bounds are not provided for them.

Original Caption

#Tesla is in a confirmed longer-term sell signal for about 4 weeks. Key breakdown happened below $423.54 (channel bottom). Our bias remains bearish into April–May unless major levels are reclaimed. * #TSLA lost $390.12 (3/8 Fibonacci level), triggering a secondary sell signal. This level had been holding for about 6 weeks. Break = meaningful shift in momentum. We expect a move toward $371.05 (descending channel bottom) within 3–5 days. $371.05 is a key short-term support / intraday containment – logical profit-taking zone for shorts. If it holds, a temporary bounce is possible. If it breaks (especially on a close), it opens the path lower pretty quickly. $356.54 (50% retracement) will be the next target. It is a stronger support level that aligns with the prior structure (old highs). Final bear target – $331.25. It is a major downside objective, expected within ~2 months. * Reclaiming $390.12 will pause the downside pressure and neutralize the immediate move to $371. $397.45 is the critical trend reversal trigger. If reclaimed, the momentum flips bullish (short-term). If $397.45 breaks, $407.82 → within days, $423.54 – $428.64 → within 1–2 weeks. BUT even this rally is likely sellable into April–May, as the broader structure still leans bearish unless higher levels are sustained. * Trading Plan: If you’re short, take partial profits at $371 and watch the reaction: Hold → bounce trade Break → stay short for $356 → $331 If you’re long, you’re fighting the trend unless price reclaims $397.45. Otherwise → rallies are likely dead-cat / sell-the-rip. * $TSLA is in a structured, step-down correction. Each level acts like a ladder down: $390 → $371 → $356 → $331. Only a reclaim of ~$397+ shifts momentum meaningfully. * If you enjoyed this update, please like and share Watch the full #TSLA Trading Plan for Mar 20, 2026, in this short video

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal