Prediction Case File
XAUUSDforexbearishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

The Trader Next Door2025-08-13T09:15:03intradaytechnical
Live Outcome
-0.52%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
3,358.69995117
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
3,330
Predicted objective
Invalidation
3,376
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
3,350
Original Analyst Trend
Range
AI-Detected Price Direction
Range
Normalized Market Direction
Bearish
Initial Target Distance
0.85%
Initial Invalidation Distance
0.52%
Risk / Reward
1.66
Timeframe
Intraday
Live Position
-0.52%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

60%
Principal
60%
Actionable
60%
Overall
Principal60.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate60.00%
Actionable60.00%
Derived Quality64.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-08-13T09:15:03
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-08-13T10:00:00
Resolved At
2025-08-13T10:00:00
Resolved Candle
2025-08-13T10:00:00
Max High
3,417.5
Max High At
-
Min Low
3,358.69995117
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
0.73h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

The Trader Next Door
YouTube · @thetradernextdoor
Reliability
63.78
Success Rate
58.54%
Consistency
98.83
Risk Adjusted
-0.3
Avg Return
0.12%
Avg Quality
3.46
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
EI7hw-WnDHo
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analysis focuses on XAUUSD using a 15-minute chart. The current trading range is specified, with the market stuck in a narrow range. Following CPI data, the dollar index fell but gold failed to capitalize. A key resistance area is noted around 3367-3370, based on a yellow box on the chart. The market has tested the resistance level 7-8 times. Expectations are for a break of this resistance or SL hunting. Selling opportunities identified near 3367-3370, referencing a previous support level becoming new resistance. Expectation that if gold is going down the volume will matter a lot and you can expect this during US session if the price action goes below 3330 you can consider short positions in the market for the instrument. The analyst mention that for a long position you can find this in a range of 3331-35, so with low volume you can consider a buy position in the current level.

Original Caption

STAR TRADER Account Opening Link. Use the referral code: 7456313 if you open account through the mobile app. https://strex.live/ayYzI3 For details, click on the link below https://www.abhilashhazarika.com/openaccount .............................................................. Telegram community Link https://t.me/thetradernextdooracademy .............................................................. Hindi Channel Link: https://www.youtube.com/@powercouplefx/videos .............................................................. Know more about me: https://www.abhilashhazarika.com/ ............................................................... My Email: itsme@abhilashhazarika.com ............................................................... Disclaimer: As per the FEMA Act, it is illegal to trade pairs without INR Currency & do business with brokers not registered in India. Kindly Google and do your own research & take decisions wisely. Trading in financial market carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. We request you to do your own research become trading or investing in any financial market. We do not take any responsibility for your profit & losses & we will not be liable in any case. You should not invest money which you cannot afford to lose. Thank you.

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal