Prediction Case File
TSLAstockbearishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Wicked Stocks2026-03-25T16:51:38dailytechnical
Live Outcome
-10.35%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
385.94000244
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
331.25
Predicted objective
Invalidation
425.88
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
383.09
Original Analyst Trend
Bearish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bearish
Normalized Market Direction
Bearish
Initial Target Distance
14.17%
Initial Invalidation Distance
10.35%
Risk / Reward
1.37
Timeframe
Daily
Live Position
-10.35%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

80%
Principal
60%
Actionable
80%
Overall
Principal80.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate100.00%
Actionable60.00%
Derived Quality80.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2026-03-25T16:51:38
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2026-05-08T04:00:00
Resolved At
2026-05-08T04:00:00
Resolved Candle
2026-05-08T04:00:00
Max High
-
Max High At
-
Min Low
-
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
1,043.13h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Wicked Stocks
YouTube · @wickedstocks8906
Reliability
46.9
Success Rate
32.95%
Consistency
89.79
Risk Adjusted
-4.34
Avg Return
-0.83%
Avg Quality
3.84
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
gjG5BIopnuA
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

Tesla is in a confirmed longer-term sell signal, broken below key resistance at $425.88 and trading within a descending channel. The 50% Fibonacci retracement level at $356.54 is acting as support, but a break below it would target $331.25. Conversely, a bounce off $356.54 could see a short-term rally to $400.80 (descending channel top) or even $425.88. However, the overall trend remains bearish, with the potential for further downside to $331.25 within the next 1-3 weeks if $356.54 is decisively broken.

Original Caption

#Tesla remains in a confirmed longer-term sell signal for about 5 weeks, triggered by the breakdown below $425.88 (rising channel support). The core downside target remains $331.25, expected over a 2–3 month timeframe. We’re already about midway through that timeline, so the bearish structure is still active. * $TSLA Key Levels That Matter Now Downside Levels: – $356.54 Major 50% retracement support, aligns with prior structure (Spring 2025 highs), and is considered a short-term bottoming zone/profit-taking area for shorts. – $331.25 Primary downside target, expected if $356.54 fails, and could be reached within weeks if momentum accelerates. Upside / Resistance Levels: – $390.12 Immediate resistance (intraday / tactical) – $400.80 Critical short-term ceiling, likely weekly top/rejection zone, and also the descending channel resistance. – $425.88 – $448.85 Major resistance range, only comes into play if $400.80 is reclaimed and held. * If #TSLA holds above $390.12 today, expect a push toward $400.80. If Tesla closes above $400.80 (3–5 days), we will likely retest of $425.88. However, even in this case, the $425–$448 zone is expected to cap upside. This would likely be a bear market rally, not a trend reversal. If $TSLA fails near the $390–$400 zone, expect a move back to $367.96, then $356.54, and ultimately $331.25. * $TSLA today will be testing first resistance, NOT confirming strength yet. It is sitting at a decision level now. Again, this is not strength — it’s a test of resistance inside a downtrend. So, short-term rallies can happen, but unless $TSLA reclaims and holds above $400.80 and moves to $425.88, this is still a sell-the-rally environment. * If you enjoyed this update, please like and share Watch the full #TSLA Trading Plan for Mar 25, 2026, in this short video

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal