Prediction Case File
SOLUSDTcryptobullishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Crypto Kid2025-08-13T14:12:54monthlytechnical
Live Outcome
-15.35%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
200.82
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
500
Predicted objective
Invalidation
170
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
201.72
Original Analyst Trend
Bullish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bullish
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
148.98%
Initial Invalidation Distance
15.35%
Risk / Reward
9.71
Timeframe
Monthly
Live Position
-15.35%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

60%
Principal
80%
Actionable
80%
Overall
Principal60.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate80.00%
Actionable80.00%
Derived Quality76.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-08-13T14:12:54
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-10-10T21:00:00
Resolved At
2025-10-10T21:00:00
Resolved Candle
2025-10-10T21:00:00
Max High
253.51
Max High At
-
Min Low
168.79
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
1,398.78h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Crypto Kid
YouTube · @Crypto-Kid
Reliability
43.24
Success Rate
28.24%
Consistency
83.95
Risk Adjusted
-15.17
Avg Return
-4.23%
Avg Quality
3.47
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
RtloMlFumYw
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analyst notes a cup and handle formation on the total 3 crypto market cap chart, excluding BTC and ETH, suggesting a breakout. Ethereum is currently at 4652. The speaker suggests ETH will reach a level of 4850 and may correct to 4000 later.6 altcoins the video suggests buying are,Binance coin, to 1200.Litecoin, to 400.Chainlink, to 100.Solana, to 500.Doge, showing a retest of a downward sloping trendline before a potential 350% increase, making the target 0.46.The analyst implements dollar cost averaging on Weex, setting the leverage 3x.

Original Caption

🟨 WEEX: https://www.weex.com/newbieActivities?id=520&type=BEGINNER_TASK&vipCode=2hwu FREE $1,000 ETH TRADE TUTORIAL TO CLAIM $1,000 TRADE https://youtu.be/QE2VFHq633M Coinflare: https://www.coinflare.com/campaign/cryptokid-exclusive-starter-pack DEPOSIT $50, GET $100 (NO KYC) Buying These 6 Altcoins Before They PUMP!!! TRADE ON BYBIT: https://cryptokid.io/BYBIT ️ Chart on TradingView: https://cryptokid.io/TradingView Become a student at Crypto Kid Academy: https://cryptokid.com Join the Crypto Kids Community: https://t.me/CryptoKidsCommunity You can also follow me on: 𝕏 Twitter: https://x.com/CryptoKidcom Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/cryptokid TikTok: http://www.tiktok.com/@efecryptokid Get in Touch: contact@cryptokid.com I'm Crypto Kid, and I just wanted to say thank you for watching my videos. I've been a Bitcoin advocate since I was 12 years old. I make videos on the Crypto Kid channel to spread cryptocurrency adoption, and help my audience become financially sovereign. #Bitcoin #Crypto #Altcoins Disclaimer: Nothing in this video is investment advice, financial advice, trading advice or any sort of advice. I am not an attorney, accountant or financial advisor, nor am I holding myself out to be. Investing always comes with a considerable risk. Everything in the video only reflects general information and all decisions by you should be conducted only after your own research and consultations with your professional financial advisor before acting. I do not have fiduciary or obligations to you, and I am not responsible for any decisions taken by you by reliance upon this video. Never invest any funds that you can´t afford to lose. Information in the videos is solely the opinion of the speaker who is not a financial advisor nor a firm. I do not intend to make any direct or indirect marketing to users and consumers based in the United Kingdom, the United States of America, India and China. Promotion and Affiliate Disclaimer: The appearance of third-party advertisements and hyperlinks does not constitute an endorsement, guarantee, warranty, or recommendation by us, and we are not acting as an agent or representative. I am not your broker, intermediary, agent, or advisor. Conduct your own research before deciding to use any third-party service. The channel is not responsible for the performance of sponsors or affiliates. The promotion only reflects my personal honest opinion of the product. I may receive compensation for the promotions in my videos.

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal