Prediction Case File
BTCUSDTcryptobullishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

EQ.Trades2025-08-14T02:04:27monthlyfomo
Live Outcome
-20.65%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
123,496.86
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
147,000
Predicted objective
Invalidation
98,000
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
122,500
Original Analyst Trend
Bullish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bullish
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
19.03%
Initial Invalidation Distance
20.65%
Risk / Reward
0.92
Timeframe
Monthly
Live Position
-20.65%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

20%
Principal
40%
Actionable
40%
Overall
Principal20.00%
Comprehensible60.00%
Accurate40.00%
Actionable40.00%
Derived Quality40.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-08-14T02:04:27
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-11-14T00:00:00
Resolved At
2025-11-14T00:00:00
Resolved Candle
2025-11-14T00:00:00
Max High
-
Max High At
-
Min Low
-
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
2,205.92h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

EQ.Trades
YouTube · @EQ.Trades
Reliability
41.4
Success Rate
25.89%
Consistency
84.12
Risk Adjusted
-22.86
Avg Return
-8.22%
Avg Quality
3.28
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
cG09PSsif_s
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The video discusses the presenter's long-term cryptocurrency portfolio. He tracks the portfolio based on the dollar cost average, allocating $1,000 to each project to easily track growth. The portfolio includes Solana which is up 6x or 500%, XRP is up 5.5x, Bitcoin is up 4.9x, Pudgy Penguins is up 4.4x, Dogecoin is up 2.6x, Chainlink is up 2.6 and Ethereum is also up 2.6x. He uses two portfolio trackers. One to track the dollar value of the portfolio and one to track the return based on the dollar cost average.

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal