Prediction Case File
TSMstockbullishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Kenan Grace2026-04-11T02:11:14unknowntechnical
Live Outcome
-0.16%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
370.58999634
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
430
Predicted objective
Invalidation
370
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
371.82
Original Analyst Trend
Bullish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bullish
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
16.03%
Initial Invalidation Distance
0.16%
Risk / Reward
100.7
Timeframe
Unknown
Live Position
-0.16%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

80%
Principal
60%
Actionable
80%
Overall
Principal80.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate80.00%
Actionable60.00%
Derived Quality76.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2026-04-11T02:11:14
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2026-04-13T13:30:00
Resolved At
2026-04-13T13:30:00
Resolved Candle
2026-04-13T13:30:00
Max High
-
Max High At
-
Min Low
-
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
59.3h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Kenan Grace
YouTube · https://www.youtube.com/@Kenan
Reliability
48.6
Success Rate
35.91%
Consistency
84.33
Risk Adjusted
-9.74
Avg Return
-1.46%
Avg Quality
3.46
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
-kyJSH7ETs0
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analysis focuses on three key stocks: NFLX, TSM, and ASML, highlighting their earnings reports, financial performance, and analyst ratings. NFLX is currently trading at $102.595 with a bullish outlook and a target of $135. TSM, a semiconductor company, is analyzed for its growth prospects, with a target price of $430. ASML, another tech stock, shows strong growth potential with a PEG ratio between 1.27 and 2.20, indicating a premium valuation. Analysts have strong buy ratings for these stocks, with price targets suggesting further upside.

Original Caption

I made my first million at 29. Get my exact trades and learn how to do the same. ► https://go.kenangraceuniversity.com/a... — Best Investing App I Use: https://j.moomoo.com/00zA6m -- Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/kenangrace1... — Legal Disclaimer: This video is for educational and entertainment purposes only. Nothing in this video constitutes financial, investment, or legal advice. I am not a licensed financial advisor. All investing involves risk including the potential loss of principal. Past results shown are not indicative of future performance. Individual results will vary. Always do your own research and consult a licensed financial professional before making any investment decisions.

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal